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Prediction markets for Antar

Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2025?

Jun 12, 6:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.2%chance

163124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3589

279

Will there be an active war over Antarctica before 2100 with at least 10 casualties?

Aug 6, 4:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.07%chance

472970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

953

Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon?

Jan 23, 10:17 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

62.5%chance

362837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

876

Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?

Aug 9, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.63%chance

412228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1281

881

Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2026?

Jun 12, 6:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.58%chance

201372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1800

555

Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?

Apr 7, 9:12 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.83%chance

301256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

948

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels?

Mar 24, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.48%chance

181134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1849

831

Will a war break out between two or more countries over control of Antarctic land or resources by 2027?

Dec 16, 2:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.14%chance

14756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1532

905

Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?

Aug 14, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

74.24%chance

19739

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

969

Will the USA make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?

Sep 11, 6:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.68%chance

12484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1321

894

Will Russia make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?

Sep 11, 6:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

22.81%chance

14212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

952

Will oil be drilled for in the field of the Antarctic Weddell Sea region before 2030?

Jul 13, 5:43 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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