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Antonio Raíllo News

    Prediction markets for Antonio Raíllo

    Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

    Jul 4, 12:46 AMJul 11, 8:59 PM
    198179139

    OptionProbability

    Xavier Becerra

    Steve Hilton

    Eleni Kounalakis

    Toni Atkins

    Tony Thurmond

    Betty Yee

    Rob Bonta

    Jesse Perez

    Michael L. Younger

    Rick Caruso

    Antonio Villaraigosa

    Kamala Harris

    Katie Porter

    Ethan Agarwal

    Alex Padilla

    Ian Calderon

    Tom Steyer

    Eric Swalwell

    Jon Slavet

    Matt Mahan

    Elaine Culotti

    Chad Bianco

    Other

    96

    3

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?

    May 6, 3:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    13981289

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Pierbattista Pizzaballa

    Luis Antonio Tagle

    Mykola Bychok

    Lazarus You Heung-sik

    Pietro Parolin

    José Tolentino de Mendonça

    Robert Prevost

    Donald Trump

    No one

    Giorgio Marengo

    Francis Leo

    Paulo Cezar Costa

    Américo Aguiar

    François-Xavier Bustillo

    Joe Biden

    82

    4

    3

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?

    Sep 29, 5:26 PMNov 9, 7:59 AM
    5932683

    OptionProbability

    Xavier Becerra

    Steve Hilton

    Eleni Kounalakis

    Betty Yee

    Rob Bonta

    Antonio Villaraigosa

    Katie Porter

    Alex Padilla

    Rick Caruso

    Tom Steyer

    Chad Bianco

    Eric Swalwell

    Matt Mahan

    Zoltan Istuan

    Other

    97

    2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Where will Waymo be available in 2026?

    Dec 1, 10:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    3717232

    OptionProbability

    San Diego

    Miami

    Dallas

    Nashville

    Las Vegas

    Houston

    San Antonio

    Orlando

    London

    Oakland CA

    Berkeley

    Sausalito

    Detroit

    Washington, D.C.

    Seattle

    Tokyo, Japan

    Boston

    Anywhere in Canada

    New York City

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    79

    42

    41

    32

    32

    20

    14

    5

    5

    4

    3

    🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Mar 12, 3:28 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
    6314200

    OptionProbability

    Other

    MSF / Doctors without Borders

    Yulia Navalnaya

    Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms

    Pope Leo XIV

    Save the Children

    UNRWA

    Narges Mohammadi

    Donald Trump

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Shehbaz Sharif

    Netanyahu

    International Court of Justice

    Greta Thunberg

    Narendra Modi

    Abdullah Öcalan

    Minnesota (or the People of Minnesota)

    duplicate - international Court of Justice

    UNESCO

    Philippe Lazzarini

    Joe Biden

    Alexei Navalny

    Kyaw Moe Tun

    José Andrés

    World Uyghur Congress

    Maria Corina Machado

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

    Timnit Gebru

    Elon Musk

    NATO

    JD Vance

    AOC

    Antonio Guterres

    Julian Assange

    David Attenborough

    Pope Francis

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Keir Starmer

    European Union

    Ilham Tohti

    Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

    Jacinda Ardern

    Raoni Metuktire

    José Andrés

    Loujain al-Hathloul

    Ilwad Elman

    Wa Lone

    Yvonne Ridley

    Hajer Sharief

    Alexis Tsipras

    Isaias Afwerki

    Nathan Law

    Agnes Chow

    Filippo Grandi

    Yuan Longping

    Mahbouba Seraj

    Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

    Juan Carlos Jintiach

    Joshua Wong

    Ernest Moniz

    DOGE

    Kamala Harris

    Noam Chomsky

    International Fact-Checking Network

    Manifold Markets

    Justin Trudeau

    Vladimir Putin

    Aleksandr Lukashenko

    Sam Altman

    Bill Gates / Gates Foundation

    Kim Jong Un

    Daniel Sheehan

    Robert Kennedy Jr

    @Krantz

    Gustavo Petro

    The Iranian protesters

    Peacekeepers

    Jimmy Lai

    Francesca Albanese

    Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue

    Haitham bin Tariq Al Said

    Any Kurdish person (or the Kurdish people

    44

    11

    6

    6

    4

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Lanterne Rouge Cycling Podcast 2026 Hot Takes Megamarket

    Nov 15, 6:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    1910806

    OptionProbability

    [Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories

    [Uno-X] Do not finish in the top 10 of any Grand Tour GC

    [Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours

    [Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC

    [Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories

    [Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege

    [Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem

    [UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories

    [Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France

    [Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race

    [Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026

    [FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026

    [Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)

    [Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia

    [Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026

    [Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel

    [Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026

    [Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories

    [Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument

    [Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC

    [Uno-X] Johannes Kulset scores 1000 or more UCI points

    [Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races

    [Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit

    [UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race

    [Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points

    [Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories

    [Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories

    [Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season

    [Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories

    [NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race

    [Uno-X] Jonas Abrahamsen wins 2 or more Grand Tour stages

    [Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France

    [Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC

    [Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic

    [Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race

    [Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia

    [Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours

    [Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage

    [Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia

    [Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)

    [Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours

    [UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments

    [NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege

    [Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey

    [Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage

    [Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix

    [Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    98

    76

    30

    12

    10

    9

    6

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will become the next governor of New York after Kathy Hochul?

    Jul 6, 9:00 PMJul 11, 8:59 PM
    164594

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Ritchie Torres

    Zach Iscol

    Antonio Delgado

    Letitia James

    Mike Lawler

    Andrew Cuomo

    Lee Zeldin

    Michael Ring

    76

    6

    4

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    Who will win the 2027 NBA championship?

    Apr 26, 5:39 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM
    324465

    OptionProbability

    Oklahoma City Thunder

    San Antonio Spurs

    Philadelphia 76ers

    Other

    Boston Celtics

    New York Knicks

    Miami Heat

    Cleveland Cavaliers

    Denver Nuggets

    Los Angeles Lakers

    Golden State Warriors

    Milwaukee Bucks

    Houston Rockets

    Los Angeles Clippers

    Detroit Pistons

    Indiana Pacers

    Orlando Magic

    Minnesota Timberwolves

    Memphis Grizzlies

    19

    17

    10

    10

    9

    8

    5

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    What city will get the next MLB expansion team?

    Jun 4, 3:48 PMJun 12, 6:59 AM
    143375

    OptionProbability

    Nashville, TN

    Salt Lake City, UT

    Mexico City

    Montreal

    Other

    Portland, OR

    Las Vegas, NV

    Tokyo

    Charlotte, NC

    San Antonio, TX

    Austin, TX

    Boise, ID

    Fresno, CA

    23

    22

    11

    8

    8

    5

    5

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    Who will be Italy's next Prime Minister?

    Feb 22, 12:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    333286

    OptionProbability

    Giorgia Meloni

    Other

    Elly Schlein

    Giuseppe Conte

    Roberto Vannacci

    Silvia Salis

    Roberto Gualtieri

    Massimiliano Romeo

    Mario Draghi

    Maurizio Landini

    Michele Boldrin

    Antonio Decaro

    Roberto Fico

    Paolo Gentiloni

    Angelo Bonelli

    Nicola Fratoianni

    Matteo Salvini

    Antonio Tajani

    Matteo Renzi

    Carlo Calenda

    Stefano Bandecchi

    Luca Zaia

    Stefano Bonaccini

    Beppe Sala

    Vincenzo De Luca

    44

    10

    9

    9

    8

    6

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District?

    Nov 21, 5:01 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    91978

    OptionProbability

    Claire Valdez

    Julia Salazar

    Antonio Reynoso

    Sandy Nurse

    Julie Won

    Other

    99

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?

    Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    00

    OptionProbability

    Chicago, IL

    New Orleans, LA

    St. Louis, MO

    Los Angeles, CA

    Philadelphia, PA

    Boston, MA

    San Antonio, TX

    Atlanta, GA

    Denver, CO

    Dallas, TX

    Other (Comment below for which city - may add to the list)

    Other

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

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