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Prediction markets for April

Tesla completes 20,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?

May 1, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

2415399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1241

806

Will there be a government shutdown before April 2026?

Mar 1, 5:27 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

38.99%chance

4810269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

799

Tesla completes 100,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?

May 1, 12:10 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

28.81%chance

286455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1572

636

A major tech company, besides Anthropic, reports at least 98% of its code is AI-generated before April 1, 2026

Mar 11, 2:59 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

16.16%chance

356288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2278

439

Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?

Mar 14, 6:58 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

34.23%chance

363050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

767

Will we redirect another asteroid by April 1, 2029?

Apr 2, 2:31 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

32.76%chance

191635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1587

343

Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?

Mar 13, 6:36 PMApr 1, 11:59 PM

21.36%chance

311444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1727

819

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

28.84%chance

5705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1571

637

Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?

May 10, 2:17 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

51.13%chance

9451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

1000

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2036?

Feb 4, 6:51 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2030?

Feb 4, 6:49 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2033?

Feb 4, 6:50 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

47.56%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

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