Arthur News

Ron Weasley is a redhead

Harry Potter is white

At least one named character from the book has their race changed

Snape is black

An actor who acted in the movies returns for the show

Harry, Ron, and Hermione’s actors will all be British

Dumbledore casts a spell (spoken or wordlessly)

Fred and George are twins irl

Hagrid is played by an actor who is under 6'4"

Harry Potter doesn't cast a single spoken, working spell in the first episode

McGonagall performs an animagus transformation (human2cat or cat2human)

Hermione’s parent(s) shown on screen

A History of Magic lesson is shown on screen

A character cut from the movies appears (ie Theodore Nott)

Premieres in 2026

Cornelius Fudge is shown on screen

Ron Weasley doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first two episodes

Quirrel is wearing a head covering when Harry first meets him

Malfoy has white blonde hair

The potion riddle guarding the Stone will be featured

Arthur Weasley is shown on screen

There’s a scene set before Harry is born

Peeves is a reoccurring character

JK Rowling is credited as both an executive producer and original writer

It's woke

Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 2

Hagrid says "You’re a wizard, Harry"

A scene depicts Voldemort trying to kill baby Harry

mandrake root on screen

80% or higher on rotten tomatoes

It will be torrentfreak.com's "Most Pirated" TV show for its year of release or the following year

Arabella Figg is mentioned by first or last name

An Astronomy lesson is shown on screen

Luna Lovegood, Cho Chang, or Cedric Diggory are mentioned by first or last name, or are in the credits

A house elf is shown on screen

Homosexual interaction between some characters will be presented

The Quibbler is shown or mentioned

At least one named character from the book has their gender swapped

Hagrid ties Vernon’s gun into a knot

An actor who appeared in any of the Jackass films receives a credit on IMDB related to the show

Premieres on strongly symbolic date (like July 31, 21.12)

Goblins are still represented as anti-semitic caricatures

The Weasley's Ford Anglia is seen flying

The Flying Ford Anglia is seen.

Harry is shown holding more than three different wands at Ollivander’s

"Voldemort" has a silent "t"

Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 3

Hagrid presents a cake with writing on it to Harry and the writing has no misspellings

Harry visits Diagon Alley in episode 1

VOLDEMORT HAS A NOSE

It ends on a cliff hanger

The intro theme song will have at least one obvious English word

Harry visits Platform 9 3/4 in episode 1

Dobby makes an appearance

At least one of the actors is transgender

90% or higher on rotten tomatoes

Harry only reaches Hogwarts in the last 10 minutes of the first episode

Quirrel shakes Harry’s hand during their first meeting

Any Harry Potter fanfic is referenced (either explicitly as judged by market creator, or confirmed by someone who works on the show)

Harry Potter doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first three episode

Hermione is Indian

We see a wizarding school other than Hogwarts

Features an explicitly transgender character

Hermione is white

JK Rowling makes a cameo appearance

actor in the show wins an Emmy for acting

Premieres in 2027

Zendaya is cast in the show

Smartphone shown within Hogwarts

Awkwafina is cast in the show

Hermione is black

Voldemort is a woman

Hagrid is played by an actor with a cognitive disability

There will be seven CGI dwarves

Rita Skeeter will have an explicit trans identity

Keir Starmer is in it

set in 2025

set in the 2020s

Yudkowsky makes an appearance

Harry, Ron, and Hermione will all be transgender

We get AGI before it premieres

Hagrid is black

Gandalf is black

Adolf Hitler is mentioned

Fred and George have the same actor

HPMOR is referenced

Stretch-and-fold after mixing, 3x every 30 min

3 iterations of stretch-and-fold, at any time during the 14h waiting period. Minimum wait time between iterations 1 hour

Place small ice cubes between parchment and pot instead of water

Add 1tsp of diastatic malt powder per 3cps of flour

Use tap water instead of fancy RO water

put butter into it

Toast the bread

Put a non-lethal dose of any rat poison.

Donate the bread to a food pantry, homeless person, or someone else in need

Add lots of butter (0.2 ml per gram)

Half yeast

Bake it with your best friend.

Use whole wheat to improve the nutrition of the bread

Bake for 5 more minutes

Bake for an amount of minutes equal to the percent this market answer is at when it comes time to begin baking. (Maintain the ±3 minute tolerances and the 2:1 ratio of time before:after the water spritz.)

Sprinkle 3 grams of flaky sea salt on top of each loaf before the second bake

Increase water by 50 g

it needs more salt

Replace all water spritz steps with a basting of extra virgin olive oil.

Diastatic malt (~1% baker's percentage) = happier yeast

Serve the bread hot

Use Iodized salt

Do a second rise

Create indentation, fill with melted cheese and butter

don't eat anything for at least 2400 hours before eating the bread

Cut into the dough right before baking looks destructive to improve the appearance

Sell your bread at an auction and donate the money to those in immigration detention prisons.

Do all the changes in the top 5 open options by probability, excluding this option

Sprinkle sesame seeds evenly over the top

Do it with a good spirit in your heart, or ask someone with a good spirit to do it for you. But don’t watch while they do it.

Try baking a little more "bien cuit". If the image is indicative, your loaves may be quite "blonde".

Substitute 75 g of your flour with spelt flour

Short advice: Start baking at 260°C for strong rise, then reduce to 230°C and uncover halfway to achieve even browning and a crisp crust. 🍞

put ketchup and cheese on it

Add garlic

Use sourdough instead of yeast

Add slurs to it

Give ChatGPT your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake

Don't automatically "Heat water to 30±1 °C". Instead, aim for a desired dough temperature (DDT) of 25-26°C. 30°C water is too hot for summer, and potentially too cool for winter.

Ask ChatGPT (GPT-5, with thinking enabled) for suggestions on improving the bread, with this market description, then do all of them.

Get recipe from gemini with experiments done, taste preference, then confirm it with chatgpt for final suggestion.

Make all of the ingredients from scratch.

Make the bread taste good

If your city uses artesian water, replace plastic bottled water with tap water. It will add natural, healthy alkalinity to your bread.

throw your recipe into a black box Bayesian hyperparameter optimization framework and iterate as necessary (see the Google Vizier Cookie Recipe paper for example

Don't eat anything for at least 48 hours before eating the bread

Invest in a "Bakers Steel" for better heat retention and oven spring. It would mean graduating from a dutch oven though.

Watch the video

Ditch current process, do everything the same as the video

Bread flour, 3x yeast, cut rise to ~3h

Use lemonade instead of water.

Eat the bread while punching @realDonaldTrump in the face

Eat the bread while watching your mana balance steadily tick to (M)0

Throw the bread at a telescope

Put a baking rack in the Dutch oven before putting the loaf in, raising the loaf off the floor and lofting it over a layer of air.

Cut bread into loaves before serving

Cut bread into ≤0.4inch slices, toast before serving

Invite your taste-testers to make the bread with you

Tarriff the bread-making process with a 10% reduction of all ingredients where actual physical money is required to purchase them, until it “shrinkflates,” but try to keep the same volume. Do not reduce any free ingredients.

Standardize a separate list of process features to keep track of independently of all other tests and use the cross entropy method to tune them to maximize your bread preference

Taste the bread

put oats on top of the dough just before baking, press them in so they don't fall off

Buy chemical bread improvers

Just freeze the ready bread, then slowly bake it until it’s hot inside. It will give you a crustier crumb, contain less moisture, and taste better.

Have someone sell the bread to you at an expensive price

Add cheese inside it and also sausage

Add 6.25±1.25 g lemon juice when mixing in water to yeast and salt jug

Add melatonin to the bread and eat before you sleep (do safely)

Don't eat anything for at least 24 hours before eating the bread

While the bread is baking, tip every user who voted "Yes" on this option 25 Mana

Use a food-grade, human-approved vitamin D supplement in the correct dosage for testers with vitamin D deficiency

Add an amount of non-smoked paprika equal to the current salt content

Strawberry jelly filling

Use a convection oven/setting

Make banana bread

Buy bread from a michelin star restaurant.

Replace part of the flour in the dough with freshly crushed hemp seeds. It will make the bread a little bit sweeter, especially appealing for Canadians.

Eat it slowly and focus on the taste

Give Gemini your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake

Keep the bread in a high quality expensive beeswax coated textile bag

Make the bread great again

Bake the bread into a fun shape, like a fish, or an octagon

Decompose it into infinite spheres, then a few parts per sphere, rotate the spheres by arccos(1/3), unite them and you will find 2 chilis (Banach-Tarski)

Bake the Manifold Crane into the Bread

Make the bread edible then throw it in

Drink vodka while eating the bread

Do FOLDED

Quit Manifold into the bread.

Kill the bread into Manifold.

Assume the chili is not in the interval [0,1], square it for more chili, if it is in (0,1), take the square root, else (equals 0 or 1) add 1 to it.

Assume the chili is in the interval (0,1), square it for less chili, if it is in (1,infinity) take the square root, if it is in (-infinity,0) take the negative of the square of the of the chile, else (equals 0 or 1) subtract 1 from it.

Bake for 15 more minutes

Add 2 tbsp vanilla cake mix

Replace AP with bread flour and cruelly mix the dough in the mixer until elastic and not sticky

Add a tablespoon of sugar

Bake one more minute

Replace 10% of flour with milled wheat bran

Butter resolved yes twice. Double butter again.

replace 10% of flour with farina bona

Follow a recipe online

Grind/powderize all salt used into a fine powder (with pestle & mortar or similar device)

Add 1/2 scoop whey protein powder

Instead of RO water, use lightly rusty water to improve the nutritional value of the bread with soluble iron.

Add at least 20% chic pea flour or some other type of high protein flour

Only buy ingredients from 7/11.

Knead it only 10 times, keep it round like this number

Ask yourself if bread is healthier than fruits? No need to improve my bread

Resolve at least one thing here yes or no while baking bread

A system view is more appropriate. This is a dynamic, multi-variate, biological and chemical system. For e.g. conditioning salt % AND yeast % AND water temperature based on ingredient and ambient temps.

Use soda instead of water (clear, orange, yellow, etc. soda is ok. Don’t use a purple/brown soda as that would make it not look good)

Wear a suit while baking the cake.

Encourage people to participate in the market in good faith while making the bread

Replace salt with sugar

Replace 600+/-5g water with 600+/-50g water (eyeball rather than carefully measure)

Cook the bread with a rod/puck of aluminum foil (or similar) in the core in an attempt to conduct heat through the center of the bread, cooking it evenly like a doughnut.

Get your friends to help you make a batch ten times the size, but add a Pepper X (2.7M Scoville heat units) to the mixture

Slowly add sawdust to the bread until your friends start to notice.

Mail the bread to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. Washington D.C.

Pray to your preferred agricultural/food deity before baking and before eating

Soak the finished product in vinegar for 24 hours

Ship a piece of the bread to a random person.

Frost it and put sprinkles on it to make it a birthday cake.

Add caffeine to the bread

Add as many Jack Daniel's whiskey barrel smoking chips as feasible to the Dutch oven before baking, physically separating them from the bread as necessary while baking.

Improve the bread

Quadruple salt

Bake your social security number into it.

Bake one fewer minute

Bake the cake while wearing a onesie.

Give the bread a name in a ritual ceremony and baptise it, with pre-blessed holy water if a priest isn't available

Test/filter the water for heavy metals

Eat the bread in front of the White House.

Implement all options that resolved NO

Make the bread inedible then throw it out.

Throw the bread at @realDonaldTrump

Force Feed it to @realDonaldTrump

Cut the bread into the number of traders in the market slices.

make the bread bounce

Implementing every element listed below.

Just make donuts instead

Bake it in an easy bake kids oven

Use a plastic baking sheet.

Eat the bread while betting yes on Cuomo on Manifold

Double oven temperature

Bake the bread very thin and add food coloring to make it have the US flag. Don’t allow it to touch the ground, illuminate at night, fold 13 times properly, and pledge allegiance before eating.

Don’t use usual water (room temperature) for the dough - that water’s only for toilets. Use electrolyte drinks instead with ice cubes; they make the dough taste better and add extra nutrition.

Light it on fire with birthday candles.

Bake it with a microwave

Halve oven temperature

Eat the bread while betting yes on Mamdani on Manifold

Step on it

Bring it to Yemen and put a bomb in it

Bake America Great Again

Sacrifice a lamb

Add MAGA and a splash of Trump juice

Bake in a cat and a dog

Explode it:

5 parts cyanide/ 1 part water/ 1 part sand

say 6 7 67 times before making the bread

Take a fat dump in the dough

Sit in dough 24 hrs

Replace flour with flowers

Let dough sit 24 hrs

Mix half sodium/potassium chloride

Add 2g? of baking soda

Bake in rectangular tin

Add 50g vital wheat gluten

double yeast

halve salt

Double salt

Add 2tsp olive oil

Refrigerate dough instead of room temp wait

Start at 500F, drop to 450F and uncover half way through

Do not mix salt and yeast in water together

Autolyse 20 minutes

Let dough rise on counter only until double volume or 2h max, any time longer in fridge

Think positive thoughts before tasting

Put fork in microwave

Don't eat anything for at least 12 hours before eating the bread

Add 2tbsp vanilla extract

Play classical music while baking

Make naan bread, an easy-to-make bread

Add a pinch of sugar

Bake on upside-down sheet pan, covered with Dutch oven

Eat the bread with friends

Bake vegimite into it.

Bake vodka into it

Bake it in the country you were born in.

Let dough sit 48 hrs

Resolve this option YES while eating the bread

Ditch all the steps. Just buy the bread from the supermarket

Eat the bread over the course of a week.

Bake for 5 fewer minutes

Use 50% whole grain flour

Bake the bread with love

Use King Arthur Bread Flour instead of All-Purpose

Add sawdust to increase the volume of the bread (but only like 10% sawdust by volume max. maybe 20% if it's good sawdust)

More steam! Either spritz with more water (preferably hot) or actually pour some boiling water in just before closing the lid.

Resolve this option NO while eating the bread

Incorporate a whole grain flour (buckwheat for example)

Add 50g sugar

Add 50g honey

Swap 200ml water for milk

Cover bread with damp paper towel instead of initial water spritz. Rehydrate paper towel during 2nd spritz. Remove paper towel before placing on cooling rack.

Make a poolish 12 h ahead: 100 g flour + 100 g water + 0.8 g yeast (0.1 %). After it ferments, use this poolish in place of 100 g flour and 100 g water in the final dough.

Add an amount of MSG equivalent to half the current salt content

Use flour made from an unconventional grain e.g. barley, millet, oats, rye, sorghum, maize etc.

Eat the bread while sending all your mana to @realDonaldTrump

Add 1/2 cup yogurt to the bread and name the bread “gurt” while addressing it with “yo, gurt”.

Add banana

Add poppy seeds

Replace some of the water with an egg (eg. remove 25g of water for a 50g egg)

Only use tap water from specifically New York City

Want to improve the value of your bread? Simply bake a piece of gold into it

Kevin Warsh

Someone else

Judy Shelton

Kevin Hassett

Arthur Laffer

Ben Johnson

Joe Brady

Kellen Moore

Aaron Glenn

Robert Saleh

Todd Monken

Brian Schottenheimer

Liam Coen

Brian Flores

Mike McDaniel

Vance Joseph

Davis Webb

Sean McDermott

Ejiro Evero

Matt Nagy

Dennard Wilson

Lou Anarumo

Mike Kafka

Arthur Smith

Steve Spagnuolo

Jim Schwartz

Vic Fangio

Bobby Slowik

Leslie Frasier

Eric Bienamy

Sam Altman

Dario Amodei

Jensen Huang

Demis Hassabis

David Sacks

Elon Musk

Geoffrey Hinton

Sundar Pichai

Mark Zuckerberg

Yann LeCun

Yoshua Bengio

Marc Andreessen

llya Sutskever

Gary Marcus

Mira Murati

Andrej Karpathy

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Daniel Kokotajlo

Arthur Mensch

Liang Wenfeng

Ben Affleck

@DwarkeshPatel

Stuart J. Russell

Andrew Ng

John Carmack

Pope Leo XIV

Marques Brownlee

Matt Shumer

Mustafa Suleyman

Tristan Harris

Aravind Srinivas

Emily Bender

Helen Toner

Francois Chollet

Andy Masley

Leopold Aschenbrenner

Emad Mostaque

Scott Alexander

Zvi Mowshowitz

@KatjaGrace

The Last Unicorn by Peter Beagle

Alcatraz versus the Evil Librarians by Brandon Sanderson

The Amulet of Samarkand by Jonathan Stroud

The Mysterious Benedict Society by Trenton Stewart

The Rithmatist by Brandon Sanderson

Sabriel by Garth Nix

The Adventures of Sherlock Holmes by Arthur Conan Doyle

Mistborn by Brandon Sanderson

The Phantom Tollbooth by Norton Juster

Ender's Game by Orson Scott Card

Holes by Louis Sachar

Animorphs (series) by K. A. Applegate

The Witches by Roald Dahl

Small Gods by Terry Pratchett

Watership Down by Richard Adams

Project Hail Mary by Andy Weir

Have Spacesuit Will Travel by Robert Heinlein

Magician: Apprentice by Raymond E. Feist

Airborne by Kenneth Oppel

Call of the Wild by Jack London

The Dark Lord of Derkholm by Diana Wynn Jones

Something Wicked This Way Comes by Ray Bradbury

The Scarlet Pimpernel by Baroness Orczy

Jurassic Park by Michael Crichton

Eragon by Christopher Paolini

Eagle of the Ninth by Rosemary Sutcliffe

Mr Midshipman Hornblower by C S Forester

Mythology by Edith Hamilton

A Magical Girl Retires by Park Seolyeon

The Paper Menagerie and Other Stories by Ken Liu

Tales of the Unexpected by Roald Dahl

Howl’s Moving Castle by Diana Wynn Jones

Harry Potter and the methods of rationality by Eliezer Yudkowsky

Andromeda Strain by Michael Chriton

On Basilisk Station (Honor Harrington #1) by David Weber

The Martian by Andy Weir

The Culture series by Iain M Banks

Flávio Bolsonaro

Fernando Haddad

Geraldo Alckmin

Tarcísio de Freitas

Renato Freitas

Simone Tebet

João Campos

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Romeu Zema

Rodrigo Pacheco

Janja Lula da Silva

Gusttavo Lima

Michelle Bolsonaro

André Janones

Ciro Gomes

Guilherme Boulos

Flávio Dino

Soraya Thronicke

João Doria

Tabata Amaral

Eduardo Leite

Sergio Moro

Nikolas Ferreira

Pablo Marçal

Arthur Lira

Arthur

Bertha

Cristobal

Dolly

Edouard

Fay

Gonzalo

Hanna

Isaias

Josephine

Kyle

Leah

Marco

Nana

Omar

Paulette

Rene

Sally

Teddy

Vicky

YES

YES

NO