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Prediction markets for Aubrey de Grey
If there is ever a cure to aging, what is it most likely to resemble?
Sep 23, 11:13 AMJul 19, 6:29 PM
485188
OptionProbability
38
21
15
14
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
Will Aubrey de Grey's 2022 Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Project "succeed" in its aims of finding an intervention that increases both mean and maximum lifespan of mice by at least 12 months?
Dec 24, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.4%chance
291532
OptionVotes
1745
666
Will the mouse with the higher lifespan be found from Jose Luis Ricon's Rejuvenome or Aubrey de Grey's LEVF?
Jan 3, 8:45 AMDec 31, 6:01 PM
101037
OptionProbability
66
27
7
OptionVotes
555
47
OptionVotes
1249
942
OptionVotes
194
94
OptionVotes
117
85
Will Aubrey de Grey be determined to have a higher concentration of microplastics in his brain than Peter Thiel?
Jan 7, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
27.89%chance
547
OptionVotes
177
104
Will Aubrey de Grey successfully impregnate a girl with his sperm?
Jan 7, 5:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.08%chance
339
OptionVotes
110
109