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Top stories

US Appeals Court Strikes Down Pennsylvania Mail-Ballot Date Rule

US Appeals Court Strikes Down Pennsylvania Mail-Ballot Date Rule

Authors

13

1 year ago

António Guterres, Obama and Others Urge Immediate Climate Action After 2024 Heat Extremes

António Guterres, Obama and Others Urge Immediate Climate Action After 2024 Heat Extremes

Authors

4

1 year ago

ICE Deportations Under Trump Surge Toward Decade High

US Domestic Policy

ICE Deportations Under Trump Surge Toward Decade High

Authors

10

11 months ago

Trump Describes Dirty Oval Office, Replaces Chair, Emphasizes Costly Gold Amid Fake Gold Claims

Authors

8

1 year ago

Syria Marks 12th Anniversary of Assad Regime’s Sarin Gas Attack on Ghouta Killing Over 1,100

Authors

7

1 year ago

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Authors

12

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Says Obama 'Gave Away' Crimea in 2014 Fox Interview

Authors

13

1 year ago

Obama Presidential Center Opening April 2026 Faces Chicago Backlash Over $830 Million Cost, Gentrification, and Community Impact

Authors

8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Barack Obama

Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:21 PMMar 30, 7:21 PM

43.77%chance

634864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2366

1634

Will Michelle and Barack Obama separate/ divorce by eoy 2029?

Jan 1, 6:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.14%chance

364666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

298

34

If term limits are repealed, will Barack Obama run for president in 2028?

Nov 8, 2:31 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM

26.54%chance

102965

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1664

601

Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029

Aug 7, 12:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9.05%chance

222700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

317

32

Will Barack Obama outlive Angela Merkel?

Mar 22, 3:02 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

64.53%chance

31696

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1199

828

Will "Was Barack Obama still serving as president i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 18, 7:12 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

8.85%chance

4581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1559

930

Will all living US presidents attend Barack Obama's funeral?

Jan 5, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.71%chance

19544

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

895

Were Barack Obama and Jennifer Aniston romantically involved sometime between 2017-2024?

Jan 29, 6:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.08%chance

11345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Did Barack Obama Mandela serve in the IDF during the Second Intifada?

Dec 29, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.55%chance

2216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

78

Will Barack Obama outlive Michelle Obama?

Apr 16, 3:23 AMMar 23, 3:59 AM

43.17%chance

11201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

107

Barack Obama or Hasan Piker, who will be seen next with Abdul El Sayed?

Aug 7, 1:01 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

4160

OptionProbability

Barack Obama

Not seen with either before election day

Hasan Piker

43

36

21

Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed?

Aug 6, 9:16 PMNov 4, 8:15 PM

31.37%chance

1079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

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