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Barrett News

    Prediction markets for Barrett

    Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?

    Jul 9, 4:57 PMJul 17, 3:59 AM
    3710701

    OptionProbability

    Samuel Alito

    Clarence Thomas

    Sonia Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Elena Kagan

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    65

    24

    4

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?

    Oct 9, 3:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    6910612

    OptionProbability

    Samuel Alito

    Clarence Thomas

    Sonia Sotomayor

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Cavanaugh

    Chief John Roberts

    Elena Kagan

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    Other

    64

    24

    4

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?

    Aug 5, 6:56 PMAug 13, 3:59 AM
    708608

    OptionProbability

    Samuel Alito

    Clarence Thomas

    Sonya Sotomayor

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Elena Kagan

    Brett Kavanaugh

    John Roberts

    Neil Gorsuch

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    65

    24

    4

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Which celebrity will die last in chronological order

    Mar 19, 2:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    368221

    OptionProbability

    Jimmy Donaldson (Mr.Beast) (May 7, 1998)

    Taylor Swift (Dec 13, 1989)

    Dua Lipa (Aug 22, 1995)

    Ed Sheeran (Feb 17, 1991)

    Mark Zuckerberg (May 14, 1984)

    Ariana Grande (Jun 26, 1993)

    Shohei Ohtani (Jul 5, 1994)

    Drake (Oct 24, 1986)

    Sam Bankman-Fried (Mar 6, 1992)

    Lionel Messi (Jun 24, 1987)

    Cristiano Ronaldo (Feb 5, 1985)

    Rihanna (Feb 20, 1988)

    Patrick Mahomes (Sep 17, 1995)

    Travis Kelce (Oct 5, 1989)

    Michael Phelps (Jun 30, 1985)

    Usain Bolt (Aug 21 1986)

    Beyonce (Sep 4, 1981)

    Rafael Nadal (Jun 3, 1986)

    Lebron James (Dec 30, 1984)

    Serena Williams (Sep 26 1981)

    Sam Altman (Apr 22, 1985)

    Lil Wayne (Sep 27, 1982)

    Elizabeth Holmes (Feb 3, 1984)

    Tom Brady (Aug 3, 1977)

    Emmanuel Macron (Dec 21, 1977)

    Venus Williams (Jun 17, 1980)

    Roger Federer (Aug 8, 1981)

    Will Smith (Sep 25, 1968)

    Jeff Bezos (Jan 12, 1964)

    Shou Chew (Jan 1, 1983)

    Britney Spears (Dec 2, 1981)

    Neil Gorsuch (Aug 29, 1967)

    Leonardo DiCaprio (Nov 11, 1974)

    Ron Desantis (Sep 14, 1978)

    Ryan Reynolds (Oct 23, 1976)

    Ketanji Brown Jackson (Sep 14, 1970)

    Kamala Harris (Oct 20, 1964)

    Christopher Nolan (Jul 30, 1970)

    Hakeem Jeffries (Aug 4, 1970)

    Satya Nadella (Aug 19, 1967)

    Gavin Newsom (Oct 10, 1967)

    Nikki Haley (Jan 20, 1972)

    Tiger Woods (Dec 30, 1975)

    Larry Page (Mar 26, 1973)

    Michelle Obama (Jan 17, 1964)

    Amy Coney Barrett (Jan 28, 1972)

    Brad Pitt (Dec 18, 1963)

    Jennifer Lopez (Jul 24, 1969)

    Oprah Winfrey (Jan 29, 1954)

    Jensen Huang (Feb 17, 1963)

    Brett Kavanaugh (Feb 12, 1965)

    Eliezer Yudkowsky (Sep 11, 1979)

    Erdogan (Feb 26, 1954)

    JK Rowling (Jul 31, 1965)

    Elena Kagan (Apr 28, 1960)

    Mike Pence (Jun 7, 1959)

    Wayne Gretzsky (Jan 26, 1961)

    Mary Barra (Dec 24, 1961)

    John G. Roberts (Jan 27, 1955)

    Barack Obama (Aug 4, 1961)

    Snoop Dogg (Oct 20, 1971)

    Xi Jinping (Jun 15, 1953)

    Clarence Thomas (Jun 23, 1948)

    Sonia Sotomayor (Jun 25, 1954)

    Samuel Alito (Apr 1, 1950)

    Elon Musk (Jun 28, 1971)

    Geoffrey Hinton (Dec 6, 1947)

    Kim Jong Un (Jan 8, 1984)

    Quentin Tarantino (Mar 27, 1963)

    Bernard Arnault (Mar 5, 1949)

    Mohammed Bin Salman (Aug 31, 1985)

    George W Bush (Jul 6, 1946)

    Benjamin Netanyahu (Oct 21, 1949)

    Volodymyr Zelensky (Jan 25, 1978)

    Ted Cruz (Dec 22, 1970)

    Hillary Clinton (Oct 26, 1947)

    Bill Clinton (Aug 19, 1946)

    Stephen King (Sep 21, 1947)

    Steven Spielberg (Dec 18, 1946)

    Michael Jordan (Feb 17, 1963)

    Paul McCartney (Jun 18, 1942)

    Michael Bloomberg (Feb 14, 1942)

    Tom Hanks (Jul 9, 1956)

    Bill Gates (Oct 28, 1955)

    Donald Trump (Jun 14, 1946)

    Vladimir Putin (Oct 7, 1952)

    Mitch McConnell (Feb 20, 1942)

    Jill Biden (Jun 3, 1951)

    Rudy Giuliani (May 28, 1944)

    Martin Scorsese (Nov 17, 1942)

    Joe Biden (Nov 20, 1942)

    Nancy Pelosi (Mar 26, 1940)

    King Charles (Nov 14, 1948)

    Warren Buffet (Aug 30, 1930)

    Mel brooks (Jun 28, 1926)

    Dick Van Dyke (Dec 13, 1925)

    Chuck Norris (Mar 10, 1940)

    Ali Khamenei (Apr 19, 1939)

    Jimmy Carter (Oct 1, 1924)

    Yahya Sinwar (Oct 29 1962)

    Bernie Madoff

    James Earl Jones (Jan 17, 1931)

    93

    91

    89

    85

    84

    83

    82

    76

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    72

    71

    70

    67

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    65

    65

    63

    62

    60

    60

    58

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    55

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    48

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    43

    43

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    40

    36

    34

    34

    34

    34

    33

    33

    33

    33

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    30

    30

    27

    26

    26

    26

    26

    26

    25

    25

    24

    24

    23

    23

    23

    23

    23

    22

    22

    21

    20

    20

    19

    17

    17

    14

    13

    13

    12

    10

    10

    8

    8

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    1

    Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?

    Jul 22, 1:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    436202

    OptionProbability

    Samuel Alito

    Clarence Thomas

    Sonia Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Elena Kagan

    Niel Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    64

    26

    5

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?

    Nov 6, 10:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    405430

    OptionProbability

    Samuel Alito

    Clarence Thomas

    Sonia Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Elena Kagan

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    A Justice not yet seated

    64

    25

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?

    Apr 1, 3:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    204795

    OptionProbability

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel Alito

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    John Roberts

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    Elena Kagan

    Sonia Sotomayor

    98

    97

    39

    29

    26

    11

    6

    3

    1

    As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]

    Nov 12, 12:07 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
    183745

    OptionProbability

    Neil M. Gorsuch

    Brett M. Kavanaugh

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Elena Kagan

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    John G. Roberts, Jr.

    Sonia Sotomayor

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel A. Alito, Jr.

    93

    93

    92

    91

    91

    87

    86

    44

    36

    Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?

    Apr 9, 2:44 PMApr 17, 3:59 AM
    242915

    OptionProbability

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    John Roberts

    Elena Kagan

    Samuel Alito

    Sonia Sotomayor

    Clarence Thomas

    22

    17

    14

    13

    9

    9

    5

    5

    4

    Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?

    Jan 1, 5:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    10775

    OptionProbability

    Samuel Alito

    Clarence Thomas

    Sonia Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Elena Kagan

    Neil Gorsuch

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Amy Coney Barrett

    66

    24

    9

    5

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    Which US House districts in the Midwest will a Democrat win?

    Mar 19, 5:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
    3422

    OptionProbability

    Michigan's 8th district (McDonald Rivet-D)

    Minnesota's 2nd district (OPEN-D)

    Nebraska's 2nd district (OPEN-R)

    Ohio's 1st district (Landsman-D)

    Wisconsin's 3rd district (Van Orden-R)

    Pennsylvania's 7th district (Mackenzie-R)

    Pennsylvania's 10th district (Perry-R)

    Iowa's 1st district (Miller-Meeks-R)

    Iowa's 3st district (Nunn-R)

    Michigan's 7th district (Barrett-R)

    Ohio's 9th district (Kaptur-D)

    Pennsylvania's 8th district (Bresnehan-R)

    Michigan's 10th district (OPEN-R)

    Iowa's 2st district (OPEN-R)

    Minnesota's 1st district (Finstad-R)

    Wisconsin's 1st district (Steil-R)

    Michigan's 4th district (Huizenga-R)

    Ohio's 10th district (Turner-R)

    89

    87

    81

    76

    68

    68

    68

    64

    64

    64

    64

    60

    56

    47

    42

    33

    29

    26

    Will Amy Coney Barrett leave next?

    Apr 2, 3:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    2.6%chance
    5412

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    470

    43

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