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Prediction markets for Batt

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

22.57%chance

183788836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185221

53989

Donut Battery powered car delivered by EOY 2030?

Jan 6, 2:16 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8.94%chance

3955132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31934

3136

Will I deem Donut Lab's solid state battery claims in their video to have been false one year from now?

Jan 6, 7:00 AMJan 6, 9:59 PM

93.18%chance

8926048

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9311

4632

Will EV batteries cost less than 1000 USD in 2030?

Jan 22, 1:29 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

18.52%chance

5613897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1766

605

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 3:26 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

5.84%chance

16913455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

730

Will LFP batteries account for more than 65% of global electric vehicle battery production (by GWh) in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

39.95%chance

1412824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12260

8157

Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?

Jun 16, 7:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14%chance

717573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2018

117

Will a major battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?

Apr 24, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.35%chance

833042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1712

1300

Is it better for battery health to charge new M1 Macbooks via Magsafe rather than USB-C?

May 19, 12:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.07%chance

211238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

1353

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Feb 15, 9:48 PMApr 9, 11:59 AM

38.47%chance

231125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

794

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

Sep 13, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.28%chance

13428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

971

Will Lithium stop being the most popular rechargeable battery chemistry before 2100?

Jun 21, 3:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.19%chance

18415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1288

939

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