OptionProbability
Other
Andrew Oldham
Ted Cruz
Kristen Clarke
Elizabeth Prelogar
Merrick Garland
Leondra Kruger
Sri Srinivasan
Lucy Koh
Michelle Alexander
Brigitte Amiri
Mike Lee
Cheri Beasley
Richard Boulware
Xavier Becerra
Rudy Giuliani
62
11
3
1
0
James Ho
Vanita Gupta
(Grace) Helen Whitener
Neomi Rao
Not me
Kamala Harris
Lawrence Krasner
Carlton Reeves
Wilhelmina Wright
Adrienne Nelson
Goodwin Liu
Barack Obama
Toby Heytens
Test
85
5
2
None (full exoneration)
Medium (~1 first round pick, ~1M)
Small (no first round picks)
Large (multiple 1sts, up to 10M)
Minor (a small fine, no picks)
Massive (ban/void, similar to Joe Smith)
30
21
17
13
7
