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Prediction markets for Becker

Will any Mox member (as of Sep 11 2025) be a billionaire 5 years from now?

Sep 12, 1:36 AMSep 12, 1:29 AM

74.13%chance

3114284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1693

591

Will an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?

Feb 20, 6:13 AMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

89.68%chance

473299

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2270

742

Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, including crypto or inheritance?

Dec 10, 1:36 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

84%chance

222092

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1872

100

Will >10 people committed to EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become billionaires (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?

Dec 10, 1:35 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

39.6%chance

19799

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1192

506

Who will be the next #1 Manifold trader to hit zero?

Jan 26, 9:38 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

5173

OptionProbability

Other

@MarcusAbramovitch

@jack

@Preen

83

8

4

4

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