OptionProbability
Max Q
Stage separation
SECO
Ship re-entry (ship in one piece at start of belly flop)
Fully orbital
Payload deployment
Deorbit burn
Ship soft splashdown
Booster simulated landing
2% for each satellite deployed
Booster catch
Ship Catch
Number of orbits: 10% for each of first 6 completed orbits then 1% for each additional orbit.
95
92
91
88
85
84
82
56
55
49
45
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1208
828
209
48
134
74
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