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Prediction markets for Ben

Will Ben Affleck and Matt Damon be married to each other by the end of 2045

May 3, 2:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.73%chance

1414778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7540

133

@bens Shame Index (BSI)

Oct 7, 4:03 AMNov 20, 5:46 PM

2911502

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2507

2431

Ben Shapiro Stock (Permanent)

Nov 19, 11:33 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

403939

OptionProbability

NO

YES

823

660

Will Ben Goldhaber win his provably unpickable lock bet

Sep 21, 2:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.48%chance

262660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2776

360

Will I endorse Ben Pace's "Sharing Information About Nonlinear" article was given what was known at the time, in 5 years

Sep 10, 10:38 AMSep 17, 10:59 PM

46.43%chance

91725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1074

931

When will Ben Stokes give up the Test Captaincy

Jul 5, 9:25 AMJul 6, 9:24 AM

6776

OptionProbability

Other

Feb - April 2026

May 2026

January 2026

August 2025

November 2025

73

11

8

6

1

1

Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028?

Apr 8, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.44%chance

6555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1407

711

Ben

Feb 1, 5:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59%chance

10473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

994

Will "The Hunt for Ben Solo" (or substantially similar film) be released before 2030?

Oct 23, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.89%chance

4366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1366

732

Who will succeed Ben Stokes as test Captain?

Jul 22, 11:34 AMJul 23, 11:33 AM

4206

OptionProbability

Harry Brook

Other

Ollie Pope

Jamie Smith

83

10

4

4

Will Ben Zhou (CEO of Bybit exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Apr 25, 1:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.99%chance

4127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

79

Will Ben Thompson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.47%chance

658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

127

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