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Top stories

Sue Bird Honored With First WNBA Franchise Statue at Seattle's Climate Pledge Arena on August 17, 2025

Sue Bird Honored With First WNBA Franchise Statue at Seattle's Climate Pledge Arena on August 17, 2025

Authors

12

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Bird

Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?

Mar 26, 2:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.12%chance

225189797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

44466

1857

Will there be a 1m+ bird flu outbreak in humans in the US by the end of 2025?

Nov 22, 8:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.13%chance

12274400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21432

4725

Will there be more than 1,000 confirmed human cases of H5N1 bird flu in the US by the end of 2025?

Dec 20, 6:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.44%chance

17265520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5302

189

Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?

Apr 14, 3:21 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

3.21%chance

11036430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5634

208

Will more than 10,000 Americans die of H5N1 bird flu by the end of 2025?

Dec 18, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.13%chance

4224470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6777

148

Will at least 100,000 Americans die of bird flu in 2025?

Dec 28, 5:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1.04%chance

4320078

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9740

103

Will the CDC announce that a "bird flu" (H5N1) epidemic exists anywhere in the United States in 2025?

Dec 6, 3:12 PMJan 1, 5:05 AM

2.92%chance

3610710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5764

173

Bird flu added to the WHO's list of emergencies this year?

Jan 3, 7:00 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

29.87%chance

204034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1532

653

Will the dodo bird be brought back from extinction before the end of 2030?

Mar 3, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.13%chance

291478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

592

By 2028, AI can play new levels of "Angry Birds" better than the best human players.

Jan 5, 11:07 AMJan 12, 6:29 PM

77.34%chance

251240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1354

852

Bird flu H5N1 outbreak in Australia in 2025 or 2026?

Oct 25, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.98%chance

61049

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

515

Will any NFL team run the "Bird Gauntlet" before 2030?

Nov 2, 5:56 PMFeb 10, 4:59 AM

13.65%chance

26927

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1286

924

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