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Top stories

Porsche Begins CEO Search Amid Investor Pressure as Oliver Blume Steps Down; Successor Expected by Autumn 2026

Porsche Begins CEO Search Amid Investor Pressure as Oliver Blume Steps Down; Successor Expected by Autumn 2026

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Blume

EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?

Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50148055

OptionProbability

About the same as in 2024

Notably easier than in 2024

Notably more difficult than in 2024

Virtually impossible

46

27

20

7

[RESOLVES JANUARY 31] Will the Senate majority leader and speaker of the house both be Democrats after the 2026 midterms

Sep 26, 3:00 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

98.13%chance

3772321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72516

1379

Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?

Mar 27, 4:01 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

77.45%chance

3112795

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10310

8852

Will social conservatism in the US significantly affect the lives of people in blue states before 2029

Jul 17, 4:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

82.9%chance

365589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2202

454

will magic be real when this market closes

Nov 30, 5:02 PMSep 10, 5:02 AM

44.53%chance

305302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1134

798

Will I still have a notable injury to my left knee after a year

Jun 12, 12:44 AMApr 25, 4:00 PM

43.59%chance

111577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11377

8790

will we have evedence of aliens before 9000?

Sep 20, 7:29 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.26%chance

171359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

780

will magic be real before i die

Dec 21, 5:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.9%chance

171322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1895

223

"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"

Apr 1, 4:08 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

17.17%chance

151215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3494

2367

BOTW stands for breath of the wild. will i beat it by 2099?

Dec 6, 2:03 AMJan 1, 9:00 AM

56.96%chance

291138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

562

How old will Cimorene be when she's able to travel to a BART station unsupervised?

Feb 11, 7:56 AMNov 10, 12:59 AM

34.29%chance

14248

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1036

921

By the end of 2026, will it be possible to purchase a motorcycle with a solid state battery for <$50k

Jan 6, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.44%chance

7187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

913

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