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Prediction markets for Bol

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

7.87%chance

1416797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14892

52

Will Bolsonaro lose his political rights without being arrested?

Jan 17, 10:46 PMSep 2, 2:59 AM

19.46%chance

132511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

763

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

40.23%chance

62299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4086

101

Will Jair Bolsonaro run for the Senate in 2026?

Apr 16, 7:48 PMSep 2, 2:59 AM

4.72%chance

132076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1569

910

Are you a Boltzmann brain?

Apr 3, 10:50 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

15.76%chance

301870

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1730

792

Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jan 9, 5:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

5.35%chance

151429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1479

918

Will Argentina have lower year-on-year inflation than Bolivia at the end of 2025?

Jun 12, 9:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.34%chance

41208

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1430

708

By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?

Feb 1, 12:52 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

56.96%chance

11970

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1205

805

Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?

Feb 3, 2:01 AMOct 27, 2:59 AM

5.43%chance

10932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1868

884

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

27.33%chance

12889

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

816

Will Usain Bolt be exposed as a drugs cheat by 2050?

Jun 1, 3:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.68%chance

19650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

794

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.49%chance

21506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

926

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