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Prediction markets for Borne

"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?

Apr 3, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.96%chance

222107585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2002

499

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

Mar 26, 12:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

61.01%chance

16152137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1739

1079

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

May 12, 1:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.75%chance

8024904

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

936

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.22%chance

14624745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9509

5616

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.9%chance

2116066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17426

6658

Mammal born from artificial womb by 2030?

Dec 31, 2:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.37%chance

12112414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2617

1317

What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000?

Jan 2, 4:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

234200

OptionProbability

Born in 2030

Born in 2020

Born in 2010

Born in 2000

Born in 1990

Born in 1980

Born in 1970

Born in 1960

Born in 1950

20

15

13

12

10

8

7

4

2

By the end of 2045, will it be possible for a person who was born male to get pregnant and have children normally?

Mar 28, 5:23 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

25%chance

353881

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

967

By the end of 2045, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?

Mar 27, 1:03 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

20.77%chance

282347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1187

920

Will a dog walk on Mars before the first baby is born on Mars?

Mar 27, 6:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.52%chance

391835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2184

1848

Will a human baby be born via IVG before 2030?

Aug 14, 5:12 AMJan 1, 7:00 AM

50.47%chance

401750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2728

2671

Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

Aug 20, 3:03 PMAug 21, 9:59 PM

18.83%chance

241121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

776

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