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Top stories

Love Island USA Reunion Revisits Cheating Allegations and Villa Feuds on Peacock

Love Island USA Reunion Revisits Cheating Allegations and Villa Feuds on Peacock

Authors

13

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Bryan

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.9%chance

246171958

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4793

4747

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?

Jan 19, 6:31 PMJan 31, 5:59 AM

5.95%chance

19570826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5527

1702

Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?

Aug 20, 10:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

43%chance

3012796

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1214

429

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Nov 29, 7:19 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

0.91%chance

428664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3011

1143

Will Bryan Johnson live to be 100 years old?

Aug 7, 11:43 PMAug 22, 9:59 PM

34%chance

383203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1343

740

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies?

Jul 18, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.77%chance

363170

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1033

879

Will Bryan Johnson (the tech billionaire) succeed in his longevity pursuit?

Nov 2, 11:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.99%chance

321578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

913

Will Bryan Johnson live to 80 years old?

May 3, 1:19 AMAug 23, 3:59 AM

77%chance

201281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

948

Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?

Jan 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

55.79%chance

9580

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

890

Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030?

Aug 15, 6:14 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

37.06%chance

4311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1303

767

Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)

May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?

Jan 23, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

51.48%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

976

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