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Top stories

Love Island USA Reunion Revisits Cheating Allegations and Villa Feuds on Peacock

Love Island USA Reunion Revisits Cheating Allegations and Villa Feuds on Peacock

Authors

13

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Bryan

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.9%chance

243170837

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4793

4747

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?

Jan 19, 6:31 PMJan 31, 5:59 AM

5.72%chance

19470814

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5721

1690

Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?

Aug 20, 10:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

42%chance

2812543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1204

443

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Nov 29, 7:19 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

1.08%chance

418556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2563

1147

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies?

Jul 18, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.77%chance

363170

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1033

879

Will Bryan Johnson live to be 100 years old?

Aug 7, 11:43 PMAug 22, 9:59 PM

33.69%chance

383153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1352

735

Will Bryan Johnson (the tech billionaire) succeed in his longevity pursuit?

Nov 2, 11:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.99%chance

321578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

913

Will Bryan Johnson live to 80 years old?

May 3, 1:19 AMAug 23, 3:59 AM

77%chance

201281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

948

Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?

Jan 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

55.79%chance

9580

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

890

Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030?

Aug 15, 6:14 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

37.06%chance

4311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1303

767

Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)

May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?

Jan 23, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

51.48%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

976

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