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Prediction markets for Bukele
Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)
Jan 21, 4:40 PMJan 31, 4:59 AM
18368992
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
21
16
16
16
15
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?
Jul 29, 1:05 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
67.14%chance
304222
OptionVotes
1509
542
OptionProbability
88
61
56
50
34
26
17
15
14
12
12
11
9
OptionVotes
2031
492
Will Nayib Bukele's Anti-Gang strategy be seen as a positive model in 2030?
Feb 25, 9:55 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM
42.03%chance
13835
OptionVotes
1355
600
Which of the following will be true by 2030? (Nayib Bukele Questions)
Oct 1, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
5676
OptionProbability
60
53
20
20
Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.7%chance
15616
OptionVotes
1403
713
Will Nayib Bukele be in prison, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030
Sep 7, 6:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
22%chance
8521
OptionVotes
208
122
Will Nayib Bukele peacefully transition out of power before 2035?
Aug 6, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
53.72%chance
11285
OptionVotes
205
172
Will Nayib Bukele be extradited to The Hague before 2035?
Mar 13, 4:27 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
24.2%chance
3204
OptionVotes
177
56
OptionVotes
138
72