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Top stories

USCIS Resumes First Bush-Era Neighborhood Checks to Verify Residency and Moral Character of Citizenship Applicants

US Domestic Policy

USCIS Resumes First Bush-Era Neighborhood Checks to Verify Residency and Moral Character of Citizenship Applicants

Authors

8

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Bush

Biden ranked below W Bush in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey

Feb 8, 8:03 PMJul 4, 11:00 PM

17%chance

355811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2213

453

Will Michelle Obama outlive Laura Bush?

Apr 16, 3:25 AMMar 23, 3:59 AM

94.31%chance

234393

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3327

700

Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Donald Trump were all born in 1946. In what order will they die?

Nov 6, 1:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

534056

OptionProbability

Trump first, then Clinton, finally Bush

Clinton first, then Trump, finally Bush

Clinton first, then Bush, finally Trump

Trump first, then Bush, finally Clinton

Bush first, then Trump, finally Clinton

Bush first, then Clinton, finally Trump

33

25

15

13

8

7

Will George W Bush outlive Obama?

Mar 22, 12:25 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

11.95%chance

372006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2088

707

Will George W Bush outlive Donald Trump?

Mar 22, 3:01 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

76.03%chance

221097

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

956

Will George W Bush outlive Angela Merkel?

Mar 22, 3:01 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

19.08%chance

24702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

922

Will George W Bush endorse the Republican candidate for president again in his lifetime?

Apr 10, 1:33 AMApr 20, 10:59 PM

56.34%chance

20690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

725

Ten years after Trump’s departure from politics, will he see a George Bush style approval ratings bump?

Apr 21, 2:35 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

20.06%chance

17685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

858

Will George P. Bush ever be president?

Feb 14, 10:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.37%chance

7282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

338

130

Which former U.S. President will live longer? Clinton or Bush?

Mar 11, 9:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12175

OptionProbability

William J. Clinton (Bill Clinton)

George W. Bush (George Bush)

51

49

Will George W Bush outlive Laura Bush?

Apr 16, 3:24 AMMar 23, 3:59 AM

45.18%chance

141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

69

69

at what age will George W. Bush die?

Nov 22, 4:08 AM

60

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