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Top stories

USCIS Resumes First Bush-Era Neighborhood Checks to Verify Residency and Moral Character of Citizenship Applicants

US Domestic Policy

USCIS Resumes First Bush-Era Neighborhood Checks to Verify Residency and Moral Character of Citizenship Applicants

Authors

8

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Bush

Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Donald Trump were all born in 1946. In what order will they die?

Nov 6, 1:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

433585

OptionProbability

Clinton first, then Trump, finally Bush

Trump first, then Clinton, finally Bush

Trump first, then Bush, finally Clinton

Clinton first, then Bush, finally Trump

Bush first, then Clinton, finally Trump

Bush first, then Trump, finally Clinton

34

32

12

9

7

6

Biden ranked below W Bush in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey

Feb 8, 8:03 PMJul 2, 11:00 PM

16.58%chance

243006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2243

446

Will Michelle Obama outlive Laura Bush?

Apr 16, 3:25 AMMar 23, 3:59 AM

94.61%chance

232643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3477

691

Will George W Bush outlive Obama?

Mar 22, 12:25 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

17.91%chance

351390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1488

810

Will George W Bush outlive Donald Trump?

Mar 22, 3:01 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

76.03%chance

221097

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

956

Will George W Bush endorse the Republican candidate for president again in his lifetime?

Apr 10, 1:33 AMApr 20, 10:59 PM

56.34%chance

20690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

725

Will George W Bush outlive Angela Merkel?

Mar 22, 3:01 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

20.16%chance

23652

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

872

Ten years after Trump’s departure from politics, will he see a George Bush style approval ratings bump?

Apr 21, 2:35 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

23.77%chance

16485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

914

Will George P. Bush ever be president?

Feb 14, 10:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.35%chance

7225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

395

127

Will George W Bush outlive Laura Bush?

Apr 16, 3:24 AMMar 23, 3:59 AM

45.18%chance

141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

69

69

Which former U.S. President will live longer? Clinton or Bush?

Mar 11, 9:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

435

OptionProbability

William J. Clinton (Bill Clinton)

George W. Bush (George Bush)

63

37

at what age will George W. Bush die?

Nov 22, 4:08 AM

60

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