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Top stories

USCIS Resumes First Bush-Era Neighborhood Checks to Verify Residency and Moral Character of Citizenship Applicants

US Domestic Policy

USCIS Resumes First Bush-Era Neighborhood Checks to Verify Residency and Moral Character of Citizenship Applicants

Authors

8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Bush

Biden ranked below W Bush in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey

Feb 8, 8:03 PMJul 4, 11:00 PM

15.03%chance

355952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2382

421

Will Michelle Obama outlive Laura Bush?

Apr 16, 3:25 AMMar 23, 3:59 AM

93.02%chance

234913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2807

735

Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Donald Trump were all born in 1946. In what order will they die?

Nov 6, 1:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

544086

OptionProbability

Trump first, then Clinton, finally Bush

Clinton first, then Trump, finally Bush

Clinton first, then Bush, finally Trump

Bush first, then Trump, finally Clinton

Bush first, then Clinton, finally Trump

Trump first, then Bush, finally Clinton

30

22

13

13

12

10

Will George W Bush outlive Obama?

Mar 22, 12:25 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

11.6%chance

372056

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2138

700

Will George W Bush outlive Donald Trump?

Mar 22, 3:01 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

76.03%chance

221097

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

956

Will George W Bush outlive Angela Merkel?

Mar 22, 3:01 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

18.11%chance

25777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

976

972

Ten years after Trump’s departure from politics, will he see a George Bush style approval ratings bump?

Apr 21, 2:35 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

23.37%chance

18735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1216

908

Will George W Bush endorse the Republican candidate for president again in his lifetime?

Apr 10, 1:33 AMApr 20, 10:59 PM

57.19%chance

21707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

742

Will George P. Bush ever be president?

Feb 14, 10:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.37%chance

7282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

338

130

Which former U.S. President will live longer? Clinton or Bush?

Mar 11, 9:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12175

OptionProbability

William J. Clinton (Bill Clinton)

George W. Bush (George Bush)

51

49

Will George W Bush outlive Laura Bush?

Apr 16, 3:24 AMMar 23, 3:59 AM

45.18%chance

141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

69

69

at what age will George W. Bush die?

Nov 22, 4:08 AM

60

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