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Top stories

Democrats Split Over Israel Policy as Buttigieg Shifts Stance, Gallego Pushes Trump to Sanction Settler Violence and Advocates Immigration Reform

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Democrats Split Over Israel Policy as Buttigieg Shifts Stance, Gallego Pushes Trump to Sanction Settler Violence and Advocates Immigration Reform

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Buttigieg

2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Jan 10, 6:40 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

10521416523

OptionProbability

Jon Ossoff

Other

JD Vance

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

Marco Rubio

Ron DeSantis

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

Tucker Carlson

Pete Buttigieg

Andy Beshear

Mark Kelly

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Raphael Warnock

Wes Moore

No 2028 Election

Thomas Massie

Steve Bannon

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Ivanka Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

Tulsi Gabbard

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Tim Walz

Mike Gallagher

Cory Booker

JB Pritzker

Glenn Youngkin

Ruben Gallego

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

Mike Johnson

Elon Musk

18

15

14

9

8

7

5

4

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?

Aug 13, 7:21 PMNov 26, 11:59 PM

700646294

OptionProbability

Other

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

JD Vance (Vice President)

AOC (NY Representative)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Marco Rubio (US SoS)

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Pete Buttigieg (Secretary of Transportation)

JB Pritzker (Illinois Governor)

Ted Cruz (Texas Senator)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Donald Trump (45th President)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Stephen A. Smith

Cory Booker (NJ Senator)

Ruben Gallego (AZ Senator)

Tulsi Gabbard (DNI)

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)

23

18

13

10

8

8

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Pete Buttigieg ever become the Democratic nominee for president?

Jan 19, 2:11 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

27.94%chance

316446

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

764

Will Pete Buttigieg run for President in 2028

Oct 10, 9:22 AMNov 1, 6:29 PM

85.42%chance

494407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1706

815

Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?

Nov 15, 1:45 AMDec 1, 4:59 AM

83.35%chance

253905

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2238

447

Will Pete Buttigieg ever be US President?

Sep 18, 6:56 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

22.95%chance

192705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

927

631

Pete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.

Feb 12, 4:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6%chance

212035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

693

71

What government positions will Pete Buttigieg hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

Apr 25, 4:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

231174

OptionProbability

Vice President

Governor

Senator

President

Representative

Chief of Staff

Ambassador

House Leader/Whip/Speaker

Mayor

Supreme Court Justice

39

35

30

23

23

21

17

13

12

3

Will Pete Buttigieg (U.S. politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.79%chance

9777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

681

151

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?

Dec 30, 11:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14466

OptionProbability

before Mar 31, 2028

before Dec 31, 2027

before Sep 30, 2027

before Dec 31, 2026

before Jun 30, 2027

before Mar 31, 2027

Never announces a 2028 presidential run.

before Mar 31, 2026

before Jun 30, 2026

before Sep 30, 2026

79

78

56

53

52

48

12

0

0

0

Will Pete Buttigieg ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

22.74%chance

12415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

146

Will Pete Buttigieg be president in his lifetime?

Nov 27, 4:42 AMDec 4, 4:59 AM

22.6%chance

16409

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

673

Latest stories

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Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Middle East
US Foreign Policy
US Domestic Policy
Democrats Split Over Israel Policy as Buttigieg Shifts Stance, Gallego Pushes Trump to Sanction Settler Violence and Advocates Immigration Reform
Authors
9
1 year ago

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