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Prediction markets for Camp

Internment Camps in Trump’s America?

Nov 8, 4:56 PMJan 16, 7:59 AM

59.92%chance

519574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1223

818

Will I make USACO camp in 2026

Aug 30, 8:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.95%chance

134133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1526

655

Following the Supreme Court ruling, will Minneapolis add criminal penalties to its public camping ban before 2026?

Aug 18, 3:58 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

8.78%chance

92467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3253

316

Will I eventually make USACO Camp

Oct 26, 10:14 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

34.73%chance

142068

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1371

729

Someone from PEA Class of 2027 will make bio camp this year

Sep 26, 10:03 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

89.84%chance

71707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

297

34

Will "This might be the last AI Safety Camp" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 16, 12:49 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

6.67%chance

21602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2030

891

Will there be concentration camps in Taiwan before 2040?

May 27, 8:41 AMMar 5, 9:59 PM

32.9%chance

201126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1428

700

More manas (boot camp stock)

Jul 12, 11:47 AMDec 31, 12:59 AM

4757

OptionProbability

Go LONG

Go SHORT

80

20

Will Israel establish a concentration camp in Rafah, Gaza by February 2026?

Aug 19, 8:22 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

55.54%chance

11336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Will Gitmo or Cecot transition from concentration camps to full blown extermination camps by the 2028 US election?

Apr 1, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

20.27%chance

10299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

50

KnownAsJason makes Usaco camp for 2025-2026 USACO season?

Jul 21, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.49%chance

2230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

34

Will I make USACO camp 2026?

Nov 17, 1:18 AMJun 7, 10:59 PM

54.75%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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