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Top stories

Redshirt Freshman CJ Carr, Grandson of Lloyd Carr, Named Starting QB for No. 6 Notre Dame vs No. 10 Miami on August 31

Redshirt Freshman CJ Carr, Grandson of Lloyd Carr, Named Starting QB for No. 6 Notre Dame vs No. 10 Miami on August 31

Authors

10

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Carr

Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?

Dec 17, 5:10 PMFeb 23, 7:59 AM

63.41%chance

9119781

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1674

732

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

May 19, 5:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.33%chance

1187120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3051

2348

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

72.3%chance

395390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3436

2195

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.47%chance

123728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13355

7895

Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill?

Nov 10, 7:37 AMJan 22, 5:59 AM

54.78%chance

62055

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

909

Before the end of 2025, the Russians will at least once try to carry out a large offensive on the city of Kharkov

Apr 3, 11:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

20.84%chance

241595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1949

341

If another Carrington Event happens, will I be able to resolve this?

Jun 12, 8:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.71%chance

141561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1517

659

2026 Georgia United States Senate Election Winner

Oct 7, 2:14 AMDec 1, 4:59 AM

111423

OptionProbability

Jon Ossoff

Derek Dooley

Other

Brian Kemp

Buddy Carter

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Lucy McBath

Burt Jones

Doug Collins

Brad Raffensperger

Chris Carr

Kelly Loeffler

72

7

7

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?

Jun 3, 12:31 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

71.04%chance

11918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1566

638

If another Carrington Event hit the US, would most people be using electricity again in less than a week?

Jun 3, 6:34 PMJun 4, 6:59 AM

56.16%chance

17891

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

884

Robo-Palanquin - human-carrying robot available by mid 2034

May 21, 8:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

47.95%chance

5350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

960

[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

May 18, 4:42 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM

49.52%chance

2204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

990

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