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Top stories

Sarah Jessica Parker Brushes Off Backlash Over ‘And Just Like That’ Finale

Sarah Jessica Parker Brushes Off Backlash Over ‘And Just Like That’ Finale

Authors

6

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Carrie

Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?

Dec 17, 5:10 PMFeb 23, 7:59 AM

71.01%chance

9119912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1943

601

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.85%chance

1412778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22391

5186

A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027

Apr 6, 12:42 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

8%chance

295455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3391

295

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

72.3%chance

395390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3436

2195

Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?

Jan 4, 2:01 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.85%chance

284282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1304

783

Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026

Oct 1, 6:10 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

10.96%chance

142180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2850

351

Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill?

Nov 10, 7:37 AMJan 22, 5:59 AM

54.78%chance

62055

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

909

Will the first Starship to land on Mars carry useful payload?

Sep 8, 2:40 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

78.3%chance

152046

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1899

526

Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?

Jul 14, 6:30 PMDec 31, 10:17 PM

6.85%chance

372036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1780

888

Will India's Gaganyaan spacecraft carry an astronaut to orbit before 2030?

Feb 26, 5:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

79.31%chance

12596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1369

832

Robo-Palanquin - human-carrying robot available by mid 2034

May 21, 8:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

47.95%chance

5350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

960

[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

May 18, 4:42 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM

49.52%chance

2204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

990

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