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Prediction markets for Carrie
Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?
Dec 17, 5:10 PMFeb 23, 7:59 AM
63.41%chance
9119781
OptionVotes
1674
732
A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027
Apr 6, 12:42 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
8%chance
295455
OptionVotes
3391
295
Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?
Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM
72.3%chance
395390
OptionVotes
3436
2195
Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?
Jan 4, 2:01 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
70%chance
274232
OptionVotes
1393
722
OptionVotes
13355
7895
OptionVotes
1101
909
Will the first Starship to land on Mars carry useful payload?
Sep 8, 2:40 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
78.3%chance
152046
OptionVotes
1899
526
Before the end of 2025, the Russians will at least once try to carry out a large offensive on the city of Kharkov
Apr 3, 11:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
20.84%chance
241595
OptionVotes
1949
341
Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026
Oct 1, 6:10 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
20%chance
121330
OptionVotes
2000
500
Will India's Gaganyaan spacecraft carry an astronaut to orbit before 2030?
Feb 26, 5:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
79.31%chance
12596
OptionVotes
1369
832
Robo-Palanquin - human-carrying robot available by mid 2034
May 21, 8:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
47.95%chance
5350
OptionVotes
1042
960
[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
May 18, 4:42 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM
49.52%chance
2204
OptionVotes
1010
990


