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Prediction markets for Cash

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

3415050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6351

3156

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

Mar 29, 6:43 PMJun 15, 6:59 AM

95.01%chance

6910593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5858

248

Should I make a dog run? (Cash prizes!!! maybe)

Nov 9, 11:44 PMJul 1, 10:21 PM

85.1%chance

154211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2390

418

Will any country ban cash/ physical currency by 2030?

Mar 11, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

14.35%chance

221547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1304

906

By 31 December 2026, will the Congress pass a DBCFT (Destination Based Cash Flow Tax)?

Nov 7, 4:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.41%chance

61215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1975

506

At the beginning of 2032, will people in the United States still be using physical coins or cash on a frequent basis?

Feb 10, 12:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

62.38%chance

331184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

824

Will Kalshi continue offering interest on cash AND open positions until the conclusion of 2026?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

73.14%chance

9767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1650

606

Trump gives people cash from tariffs in 2026?

Nov 20, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.28%chance

11494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

55

Will GiveWell fund/recommend cash grants to high-growth microentrepreneurs by January 2028?

Jan 14, 10:25 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

25.42%chance

994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

159

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last until the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 5:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.42%chance

689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Willl i (Phillip Kalstrup) cash a pokemon tcg major before 2027?

Jan 28, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.78%chance

428

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will you still be able to buy crypto anonymously via cash in the mail on LocalCoinSwap at the start of 2030?

May 11, 7:02 AMJan 3, 4:59 AM

43.58%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

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