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Cash News

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

3415050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6351

3156

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

Mar 29, 6:43 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

93.97%chance

678062

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5359

277

Should I make a dog run? (Cash prizes!!! maybe)

Nov 9, 11:44 PMJul 1, 10:21 PM

87.02%chance

143561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2589

386

Should I just chill and NOT make a dog run (Cash prizes!!! maybe)

Nov 9, 11:45 PMJul 1, 10:36 PM

84.07%chance

91972

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2297

435

Will any country ban cash/ physical currency by 2030?

Mar 11, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

14.35%chance

221547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1304

906

By 31 December 2026, will the Congress pass a DBCFT (Destination Based Cash Flow Tax)?

Nov 7, 4:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.41%chance

61215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1975

506

At the beginning of 2032, will people in the United States still be using physical coins or cash on a frequent basis?

Feb 10, 12:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

62.38%chance

331184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

824

By 31 December 2025, will President Trump or President-elect Trump refer to a DBCFT (Destination Based Cash Flow Tax)?

Nov 7, 4:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.27%chance

6777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1766

566

Will Kalshi continue offering interest on cash AND open positions until the conclusion of 2026?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

73.14%chance

9767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1650

606

On resolution, will I think cash transfers to poor people have significant long-term improvements in Subjective Well Being? 10% chance to resolve each year

Nov 27, 11:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.17%chance

17596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

976

Will "Pay Risk Evaluators in Cash, Not Equity" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Sep 7, 9:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.71%chance

2201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

972

Will you still be able to buy crypto anonymously via cash in the mail on LocalCoinSwap at the start of 2030?

May 11, 7:02 AMJan 3, 4:59 AM

43.58%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

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