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Prediction markets for Chan

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

121673450

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

London Breed

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

55

26

15

2

1

1

1

1

0

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Oct 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43126130

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Nancy Pelosi

Christine Pelosi

London Breed

Other

Jingchao Xiong

Darren Helton

54

25

15

2

2

1

1

0

0

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.89%chance

13623574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1524

657

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.05%chance

296091

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6239

2225

Will Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan be happily married and monogamous for life?

Feb 28, 12:05 AMMar 6, 4:59 AM

30%chance

482451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1511

657

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM

8735

OptionProbability

OpenAI makes significant changes to Sora

OpenAI discontinues Sora

51

44

Will Mana-chan wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jul 13, 4:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.49%chance

8406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

428

145

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49%chance

11380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

51

49

Will chris-chan finally get a wife/girlfriend by 2033?

Jan 29, 4:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.21%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

94

Christian/Christine Weston Chandler (Chris Chan) alive through the end of 2029?

Jul 2, 8:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.41%chance

332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

90

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

25

25

25

25

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

50

50

50

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