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Prediction markets for Chang

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.2%chance

14590456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6961

3818

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

Jun 16, 2:20 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

67.7%chance

29334058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3948

3188

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.89%chance

13623574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1524

657

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Apr 5, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.42%chance

25317819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2329

1841

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.05%chance

296091

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6239

2225

Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?

Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

18.47%chance

343056

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4073

1087

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

66.3%chance

72461

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4576

2499

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Oct 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.84%chance

71280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3612

2144

What % Change will RKLB (Rocketlab) Stock Value Have After NEUTRON Launches for the first time?

Dec 20, 3:52 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

38%chance

6932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3002

1318

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM

8735

OptionProbability

OpenAI makes significant changes to Sora

OpenAI discontinues Sora

51

44

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

25

25

25

25

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

50

50

50

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