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Prediction markets for Chang

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.59%chance

15495576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6005

3911

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

Jun 16, 2:20 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

66.92%chance

29334138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3987

3107

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.72%chance

14124712

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1593

628

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Apr 5, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.42%chance

25317819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2329

1841

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.85%chance

338065

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6591

1784

Which February 2026 Nasdaq-100 rule changes will take effect before 2027?

Feb 26, 3:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36680

OptionProbability

Fast Entry for large new listings

Use of full market cap (including unlisted share classes) for eligibility ranking

Top-125 replacement rule

5× low-free-float weighting multiplier

Removal of the 10% minimum free float requirement

Quarterly-only share updates

77

72

72

70

70

70

Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?

Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

14.69%chance

353706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4723

958

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

66.3%chance

72461

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4576

2499

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM

111815

OptionProbability

OpenAI makes significant changes to Sora

OpenAI discontinues Sora

51

36

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Oct 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.84%chance

71280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3612

2144

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

25

25

25

25

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

50

50

50

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