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Prediction markets for Chang

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.61%chance

15595688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5993

3912

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

Jun 16, 2:20 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

67.18%chance

29434211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3974

3134

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.46%chance

7133220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5472

4989

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

85.26%chance

11730920

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2407

416

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.43%chance

15528322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1317

759

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Apr 5, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.4%chance

25518756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3256

1410

Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Apr 17, 3:47 PMDec 17, 9:59 PM

19.73%chance

12215215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2171

993

Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?

Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

5.65%chance

448594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8365

590

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

64.46%chance

82561

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4387

2599

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Oct 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.02%chance

91385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3717

2111

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

25

25

25

25

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

50

50

50

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