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Prediction markets for Chill

Will any model in the GPT series draw me a donut consistently in ASCII by 2028?

Mar 16, 8:58 AMJan 1, 5:35 PM

98.18%chance

468622

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6395

1003

If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble?

Jan 11, 1:12 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.48%chance

112192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3090

324

Will a mainstream movie or TV series depict Muhammad or Allah in an entertaining way before 2035?

Aug 30, 11:57 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.75%chance

341162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

101

What will be the cool word for "cool" in 2032?

Sep 20, 1:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18370

OptionProbability

Other

sigma

based

cool

spice

whale

heat

loose

caught

cot

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TRANCHE

gas

numb

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warm

tepid

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沉着的 chénzhuóde

cloe

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31

24

15

14

4

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Destiny's orbiters ETF (permanent)

Mar 23, 12:54 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

5243

OptionProbability

YES

NO

137

79

Irene Coin

Apr 10, 9:44 AM

1199

OptionProbability

NO

YES

100

100

Will the UK pressure credit card processors to enforce content censorship on Signal?

Mar 22, 8:37 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

30.24%chance

682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

154

Will "Consider chilling out in 2028" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jun 22, 6:52 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

I'm looking to connect with instructional designers. I'll give 500 mana for each connection you help me make.

Nov 21, 2:19 PM

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