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Prediction markets for Chill

If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble?

Jan 11, 1:12 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.48%chance

112192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3090

324

Will a mainstream movie or TV series depict Muhammad or Allah in an entertaining way before 2035?

Aug 30, 11:57 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.75%chance

341162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

101

Will I qualify for at least one international olympiad?

Nov 21, 1:03 PMMay 28, 12:53 PM

56.56%chance

7430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

876

What will be the cool word for "cool" in 2032?

Sep 20, 1:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18370

OptionProbability

6 7

Other

cool

based

sigma

spice

whale

caught

cot

retro

TRANCHE

heat

loose

gas

numb

left

sunk

cought

warm

tepid

luke

damp

jank

sweet

sick

沉着的 chénzhuóde

cloe

swag

25

25

13

13

12

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Destiny's orbiters ETF (permanent)

Mar 23, 12:54 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

5243

OptionProbability

YES

NO

137

79

Irene Coin

Apr 10, 9:44 AM

1199

OptionProbability

NO

YES

100

100

How many points will the winner of the chess 2026 candidates tournament receive?

Dec 14, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2184

OptionProbability

9

8.5

>=9.5

8

<=7.5

43

22

18

12

6

Will "The Bone-Chilling Evil of Factory Farming " make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 22, 7:17 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.61%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

791

Will "Consider chilling out in 2028" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jun 22, 6:52 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

I'm looking to connect with instructional designers. I'll give 500 mana for each connection you help me make.

Nov 21, 2:19 PM

00

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