Choi News

When will Manifold Markets allow users to partially resolve dependent multiple choice markets

Jun 26, 7:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4621401

OptionProbability

2026-2027

not before 2028

2025

Jun-July 2023

Aug-Sep 2023

Oct-Dec 2023

Jan-May 2024

June-Dec 2024

Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)

Sep 2, 10:37 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

3210872

OptionProbability

Other

J.D. Vance

Gavin Newsom

Marco Rubio

Starship to Mars Multi-choice Matrix

Sep 9, 8:01 AMMar 30, 3:59 PM

248366

OptionProbability

No Starship launch in 2026, no Starship launch in 2028

No Starship launch in 2026, uncrewed Starship launch in 2028

No Starship launch in 2026, crewed Starship launch in 2028

Uncrewed Starship launch in 2026, no Starship launch in 2028

Uncrewed Starship launch in 2026, uncrewed Starship launch in 2028

Uncrewed Starship launch in 2026, crewed Starship launch in 2028

Crewed Starship launch in 2026

In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]

Oct 10, 5:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

267885

OptionProbability

2029

2030

2027

2028

2026

2023

2024

2025

Will the future be better? [Pick your choices]

Mar 14, 12:53 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

344903

OptionProbability

Less infants will die

People will live longer

We will be richer

Less people will die in wars

CO2 pollution will slow down

Will Manifold implement "resolves-to-multiple" Multiple Choice markets before 2027?

Nov 1, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.06%chance

41271

OptionVotes

YES

2205

453

If I use one of the below domains for my app, will I be happy with the choice by the end of 2026

Feb 23, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4875

OptionProbability

podfactum.com

podatelier.com

podfabrik.com

Northern Ireland Self-determination Choices Before 2030

Feb 8, 10:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

15864

OptionProbability

No referendum

Referendum, NI leaves, joins with ROI

Referendum, NI stays

Referendum, NI leaves, doesn't join with ROI

When will the ability to allow resolving options in multiple-choice markets to NO be added?

Sep 20, 4:40 PMDec 31, 5:31 PM

12840

OptionProbability

Before 2050

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before January 2029

Before June 2028

Before June 2027

Before January 2028

Before January 2027

Before January 2026

Before June 2026

Axiom of Choice stock

Apr 2, 7:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.31%chance

20526

OptionVotes

YES

1328

823

Working in food technology is a more effectively altruistic career choice than working in grassroots activism

Mar 24, 3:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

78.4%chance

15311

OptionVotes

YES

1165

936

Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)

Dec 10, 9:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8280

OptionProbability

He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2026

Will he have a child by mid 2026? Best wishes to him and his family

He writes a book which appears on the nytimes bestseller list by mid 2029

He joins George Mason University by mid 2026

He spends at least a year overseas by mid 2029

He wins a Nobel prize by mid 2036

He joins Manifold and is verified by mid 2026

He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2024

He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2025

He retires from academic life by mid 2024

Harvard withdraws or softens the results of the investigations which found against him by mid 2025

Harvard apologizes for the claims against him and admits they were without merit by mid 2025

Choi News

Prediction markets for Choi

Prediction markets for Choi

Prediction markets for Choi

When will Manifold Markets allow users to partially resolve dependent multiple choice markets

Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)

Starship to Mars Multi-choice Matrix

In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]

Will the future be better? [Pick your choices]

Will Manifold implement "resolves-to-multiple" Multiple Choice markets before 2027?

If I use one of the below domains for my app, will I be happy with the choice by the end of 2026

Northern Ireland Self-determination Choices Before 2030

When will the ability to allow resolving options in multiple-choice markets to NO be added?

Axiom of Choice stock

Working in food technology is a more effectively altruistic career choice than working in grassroots activism

Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)

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