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Top stories

Founders Fund Backs Hadrian With $260 Million Series C

Founders Fund Backs Hadrian With $260 Million Series C

Authors

10

13 days ago

Prediction markets for Chris Power

Will Syria hold legitimate elections before the end of 2025?

Dec 8, 12:16 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

7.03%chance

7727407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3636

275

Will Syria hold legitimate elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

19.47%chance

474786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2034

492

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

May 3, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9720

OptionProbability

Other

Wang Yang

Ding Xuexiang

Cai Qi

Li Qiang

He Lifeng

Wang Qishan

Tsai Ing-wen

49

16

11

10

8

4

1

1

Will the next person to have de facto control of the Executive Branch be Donald Trump Jr?

Feb 16, 4:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.48%chance

10401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

415

24

Will a serious incident caused by AI happen that causes a severe public backlash (akin to Nuclear Fission) by 2040?

Mar 20, 9:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.2%chance

15304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

951

Humanoid Robot Finishes a 10K Race Under 60 Minutes by 2030

Feb 4, 9:40 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73.17%chance

7150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

61

A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro table tennis player before 2035

Feb 4, 9:29 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

73.67%chance

6120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

60

A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro tennis player before 2035

Feb 4, 9:31 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

62.45%chance

5116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

78

Will China complete their 24000 TEU Nuclear Powered Container Ship by Jan 1st 2032?

Dec 14, 4:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.4%chance

7106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

167

Will Fourth Power's 1 MWh Thermal Battery prototype be operational by Jan 1st 2027?

Dec 18, 5:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.08%chance

9104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

227

153

A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro pickleball player before 2035

Feb 4, 9:25 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

34.37%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

72

Will Vladimir Putin and Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within one year of each other?

May 4, 11:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.56%chance

536

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

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