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Prediction markets for Chris Powers

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2025?

Dec 8, 12:16 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

6.88%chance

8734934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3680

272

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

20.35%chance

515004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1979

505

Will Jimmy Fallon outlast Trump's reign as host of the The Tonight Show?

Sep 19, 3:21 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

65.01%chance

254226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

946

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

May 3, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10780

OptionProbability

Other

Ding Xuexiang

Wang Yang

Li Qiang

Cai Qi

He Lifeng

Wang Qishan

Tsai Ing-wen

73

11

5

4

4

2

1

1

Will Nick Fuentes renounce white supremacy before the end of 2029?

Dec 3, 3:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33%chance

15439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Will a serious incident caused by AI happen that causes a severe public backlash (akin to Nuclear Fission) by 2040?

Mar 20, 9:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.2%chance

15304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

951

A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro table tennis player before 2035

Feb 4, 9:29 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

59.92%chance

7142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro tennis player before 2035

Feb 4, 9:31 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

60.06%chance

6120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

82

Will China complete their 24000 TEU Nuclear Powered Container Ship by Jan 1st 2032?

Dec 14, 4:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.4%chance

7106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

167

Will Fourth Power's 1 MWh Thermal Battery prototype be operational by Jan 1st 2027?

Dec 18, 5:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.08%chance

9104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

227

153

A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro pickleball player before 2035

Feb 4, 9:25 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

34.37%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

72

Will Vladimir Putin and Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within one year of each other?

May 4, 11:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.56%chance

536

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

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