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Prediction markets for Chris Powers

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

15.27%chance

535367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2355

425

Will Jimmy Fallon outlast Trump's reign as host of the The Tonight Show?

Sep 19, 3:21 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

66.8%chance

254576

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

918

Will X (Twitter) be banned in Australia in 2026?

Jan 11, 9:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.72%chance

233396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3727

269

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

May 3, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13846

OptionProbability

Other

Zhang Shengmin

Ding Xuexiang

Li Qiang

Cai Qi

Wang Yang

He Lifeng

Wang Qishan

Tsai Ing-wen

70

10

6

5

3

3

2

1

0

Will the next person to have de facto control of the Executive Branch be Donald Trump Jr?

Feb 16, 4:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.48%chance

10801

OptionVotes

YES

NO

815

12

Will Nick Fuentes renounce white supremacy before the end of 2029?

Dec 3, 3:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.15%chance

15521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

85

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Mar 21, 5:34 PMNov 21, 11:59 PM

64.4%chance

5461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1345

744

Will a serious incident caused by AI happen that causes a severe public backlash (akin to Nuclear Fission) by 2040?

Mar 20, 9:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.2%chance

15304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

951

Humanoid Robot Finishes a 10K Race Under 60 Minutes by 2030

Feb 4, 9:40 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

91.42%chance

8289

OptionVotes

NO

YES

326

31

A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro table tennis player before 2035

Feb 4, 9:29 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

59.92%chance

7142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro tennis player before 2035

Feb 4, 9:31 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

60.06%chance

6120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

82

Will China complete their 24000 TEU Nuclear Powered Container Ship by Jan 1st 2032?

Dec 14, 4:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.4%chance

7106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

167

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