OptionProbability
Andy Burnham
Nigel Farage
Kemi Badenoch
Zack Polanski
Other
Rupert Lowe
Robert Jenrick
Angela Rayner
Jeremy Clarkson
Keir Starmer
James Cleverly
Richard Tice
Ed Davey
Boris Johnson
Ed Miliband
Wes Streeting
Alistair Carns
Jeremy Corbyn
Idris Elba
Louise Haigh
Lawrence Newport
Rachel Reeves
Danny Kruger
Matt Clifford
39
30
7
4
3
2
1
0
Jeremy Clarkson alive until end of the month
Anthropic or Meta release a new model
noam chomsky alive until end of month
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
Seattle Mariners win at least 5 games
american airstrike or drone strike or missle strike on iran
spacex launches 15 or more rockets
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced
major tech company merger/acquisition announced
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month
Member of U.S Congress resigns, dies, or is removed from office
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
trump leaves usa at least once
A treasure from The Secret is found (12treasures.com)
starship launch
china taiwan military conflict resulting in at least 1 death
usa bombs or missle strikes syria
A sitting U.S. State or Territory governor dies in office
American airstrike or drone strike or missile strike on Mexico
usa bombs or missle strikes lebanon
a supreme court justice is replaced, or announces retirement
winds of winter (next GoT book) release date announced
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates
ukraine russia ceasefire
web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month
97
94
93
85
78
62
58
54
51
50
47
41
36
25
22
21
18
17
13
12
11
8
5