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Top stories

Sheinbaum Opens Women’s Centre in Violent Guanajuato, Faces Security Demands

Sheinbaum Opens Women’s Centre in Violent Guanajuato, Faces Security Demands

Authors

6

14 hours ago

Prediction markets for Claudia

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Jan 9, 1:47 PMDec 11, 10:59 PM

4%chance

118145322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2231

1404

Will Donald Trump's birthday become a U.S. federal holiday?

Mar 23, 10:18 PMJun 15, 10:59 PM

4.67%chance

14579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

452

22

Who will be elected King County Executive in 2025?

Nov 25, 10:58 AMDec 9, 10:59 PM

2230

OptionProbability

Girmay Zahilay

Claudia Balducci

Other

John Arthur Wilson

46

45

6

2

Who will win Colombia's 2026 presidential election?

Apr 14, 8:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6156

OptionProbability

Victoria Dávila

Sergio Fajardo

Gustavo Bolívar

Other

Juan Manuel Galán

Claudia López

María Fernanda Cabal

María José Pizarro

Germán Vargas Lleras

Miguel Uribe Turbay

23

14

14

13

7

7

6

6

6

5

Will Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocate for Solar Geoengineering during her term as president of Mexico?

Oct 22, 10:49 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

56.25%chance

6134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

882

Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027?

Jun 5, 6:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.35%chance

493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

83

Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030?

Feb 18, 10:42 PMJun 1, 5:59 AM

36.49%chance

482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

200

Will Mexico reform its National Electoral Institute by the end of Claudia Sheinbaum's 1st year in office?

Jun 10, 5:44 PMOct 1, 2:59 AM

44.32%chance

337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

Who will win the 2025 UK celebrity traitors series

Jun 23, 9:44 AMOct 31, 12:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Tameka Empson

Tom Daley

Alan Carr

Cat Burns

Celia Imrie

Charlotte Church

Clare Balding

David Olusoga

Joe Marler

Joe Wilkinson

Jonathan Ross

Kate Garraway

Lucy Beaumont

Mark Bonnar

Nick Mohammed

Niko Omilana

Paloma Faith

Ruth Codd

Stephen Fry

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 2, 2025
Aug 2, 2025
Mexico
Politics
World
Sheinbaum Opens Women’s Centre in Violent Guanajuato, Faces Security Demands
Authors
6
14 hours ago

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