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Prediction markets for Condon

What dark web markets will have exit scammed before the end of 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

Apr 4, 4:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6318

OptionProbability

Cypher Market

White House

Flugsvamp 4.0

DrugHub

DarkMatter

SuperMarket

Abacus

Archetyp

100

66

66

50

50

50

34

24

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.79%chance

14181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

986

Will we see a free medical research zone in the US established in the next 20 years

Mar 2, 5:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.71%chance

3145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

65

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

472

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

80

59

59

45

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