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Top stories

Apple Beats Estimates on Tariff-Driven iPhone Surge; Cook Passes Jobs Tenure

Company Earnings

Apple Beats Estimates on Tariff-Driven iPhone Surge; Cook Passes Jobs Tenure

Authors

21

2 days ago

Apple Hits 3 Billion iPhones Sold as Sales Pace Accelerates

Company Earnings

Apple Hits 3 Billion iPhones Sold as Sales Pace Accelerates

Authors

17

3 days ago

Apple’s Tim Cook Tells Staff Winning the AI Race Is Imperative

Apple’s Tim Cook Tells Staff Winning the AI Race Is Imperative

Authors

5

14 hours ago

Prediction markets for Cook

In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)

Sep 16, 8:37 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

65.07%chance

11314902

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2220

880

[20k liquidity] Cooked-o-meter: 2025 Tour de France Femmes Stage 9

Aug 3, 4:05 AMAug 3, 2:30 PM

713935

OptionProbability

Niamh Fisher-Black

Dominika Wlodarczyk

Cedrine Kerbaol

Sarah Gigante

Kasia Niewiadoma

Demi Vollering

Pauline Ferrand-Prevot

57

56

40

34

32

31

16

Will a crossing of the Cook Strait, between New Zealand's North and South Islands, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 5, 9:21 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10.04%chance

181033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

911

Will Elon Musk challenges Jeff Bezos, Tim Cook, Sundar Pichai, OR Jensen Huang to a fight before end of 2025?

Apr 1, 12:13 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

9.76%chance

22932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1787

808

Will Tim Cook continue as CEO of Apple through 2030?

Jan 8, 4:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.03%chance

15548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

331

88

👍👎 is usa cooked [market index]

Feb 20, 4:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.26%chance

5445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1341

746

Will Tim Cook retire by 2030

Oct 19, 4:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

81.25%chance

14310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

973

Will Satya Nadella outlast Tim Cook as a CEO?

May 2, 10:35 AMMay 9, 9:59 PM

82.94%chance

5123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

220

45

<10% US households cook own food manually by 2040

Jun 13, 12:02 AMJun 13, 12:02 AM

17.12%chance

5120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Will I fly to New Mexico to buy chilis at Costco and cook @billga's Green Chile Stew before Souper Tuesday 2032?

Mar 26, 2:29 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

65.03%chance

9103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

291

205

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 23, 1:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.42%chance

887

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

130

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2050?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.6%chance

512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

102

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