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Top stories

Ex-Governor Roy Cooper Joins 2026 North Carolina Senate Race

Authors

5

5 days ago

UK Orders Inquiry Into 1984 Orgreave Miners Clash

Authors

4

12 days ago

Prediction markets for Cooper

Will Roy Cooper run for and be elected Senator for North Carolina in 2026?

Feb 21, 5:15 PMNov 11, 4:59 AM

77.68%chance

83042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2505

838

Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?

Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM

33.02%chance

181605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2890

1359

What fraction of identical twins cooperate in the prisoner's dilemma?

Oct 21, 1:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

79.98%chance

161313

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

921

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.22%chance

21624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

754

Will the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) exist at EOY 2025?

Nov 18, 6:26 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

95.36%chance

7356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

453

22

[Metaculus] Will US law continue to prohibit NASA cooperation with the Chinese government until 2030?

Oct 12, 10:13 PMFeb 1, 3:00 AM

92.63%chance

5238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

367

80

Cooper Flagg youngest NBA player to record a triple double?

Jun 28, 1:02 AMMar 16, 12:58 AM

63.91%chance

7196

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Will Saudi Arabia join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization by the end of 2025?

Jul 5, 2:51 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

33.16%chance

9183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

162

Will Roy Cooper win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?

Jul 1, 12:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.88%chance

590

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will "Towards more cooperative AI safety strategies" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 16, 8:58 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.46%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

753

What will be the first for-profit cooperation to join manifold?

Apr 4, 8:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

342

OptionProbability

Other

Discord

Reddit

Meta

Google

Twitter

Twitch

78

6

4

3

3

3

3

Will Saudi Arabia join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization by the end of 2030?

Jul 5, 2:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.53%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

87

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