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Prediction markets for Cornell
🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM
9629282
OptionProbability
93
87
85
82
72
71
71
65
61
61
59
59
59
55
51
50
50
49
48
48
47
47
47
46
42
41
40
40
39
39
37
37
34
31
31
30
29
28
28
27
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26
25
25
24
22
22
20
20
19
19
18
18
17
17
17
16
16
15
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14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
11
11
8
8
7
7
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Mar 25, 1:59 PMAug 8, 1:30 PM
11628581
OptionProbability
66
50
33
25
25
24
18
16
13
10
9
9
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
Who will win the ACF Nationals Collegiate Quizbowl Championship 2026?
Apr 16, 1:40 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
2113474
OptionProbability
36
25
14
4
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
83
53
46
37
30
29
22
19
16
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
61
43
42
40
38
36
24
17
12
0
0
0
OptionProbability
33
12
8
8
7
6
5
4
4
3
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
81
77
70
67
38
23
22
19
12
7
OptionProbability
28
24
21
20
20
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
33
32
22
21
21
18
12
0
OptionProbability
56
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
One year later, how will Manifold users view the effects of arXiv's separation from Cornell University?
Mar 16, 3:29 PMMar 13, 10:00 PM
10460
OptionProbability
53
30
17
OptionProbability
52
9
7
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
1