Cornyn News

NO

Ken Paxton

James Talarico

John Cornyn

Wesley Hunt

Collin Allred

Jasmine Crockett

Ken Paxton

James Talarico

Jasmine Crockett

John Cornyn

Wesley Hunt

Susan Collins (Senate - ME): Voted to convict Trump in 2021.

David Valadao (House - CA): The only House Republican who voted to impeach Trump who is running for re-election in 2026.

Field (Any other Targeted Incumbent not listed): If a major new target emerges add them as a standalone option.

No Targeted Incumbent will survive (Trump Sweep)

John Cornyn (Senate - TX): With McConnell retiring, Cornyn is the new face of the "Establishment". Trump allies (like Texas AG Ken Paxton) have actively floated primary challenges against him.

Bill Cassidy (Senate - LA): Voted to convict Trump in 2021 and was immediately censured by his state party. He is running for re-election and will face a massive Trump-backed primary challenge.

If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett

If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico

Ken Paxton is the GOP nominee

The GOP nominee outruns Ted Cruz's 2018 margin

The GOP nominee outruns Donald Trump's 2020 margin

John Cornyn resigns from the Senate early

Ken Paxton resigns as Texas AG early

Ken Paxton is confirmed by the U.S. Senate to an executive branch position

Ken Paxton becomes a federal judge

Ken Paxton is confirmed by the U.S. Senate to head a major department (i.e. DOJ, FBI)

The SAVE Act is passed as part of a deal to get Paxton to withdraw

One of the two GOP runoff candidates drops out

Donald Trump

JD Vance

Mike Johnson

Ted Cruz

Dave McCormick

Rick Scott

Josh Hawley

John Thune

John Cornyn

Rand Paul

YES