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Prediction markets for Corona

Which star within 50k ly will go supernova next.

Aug 7, 2:15 PMAug 31, 1:59 PM

154136

OptionProbability

Eta Carinae

T Coronae Borealis

Betlgeuse

WR 102

Sher 25

Other

WR 142

HD 168625

WR30a

HD 179821 (V1427 Aquilae)

69

25

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will Gene Hackman survive Sergio Corona?

Jul 22, 3:44 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

1.1%chance

2850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

950

11

Will I regret not getting a drivers license in 2023 by 2030?

Dec 29, 10:55 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.98%chance

14556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1256

1213

Will I regret getting a driver's license in 2023 by 2030?

Dec 29, 11:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.51%chance

15445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

916

When will a pan-coronavirus vaccine be available to healthy members of the united states public?

Mar 8, 12:30 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

5414

OptionProbability

After 2030

2026

2028

2027

2025

2029

2030

2024

37

34

28

27

21

17

17

2

Universal Coronavirus Vaccine released in the US by 2030?

Jun 13, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.92%chance

8307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

341

29

Will Starship land a human on Mars before California HSR transports a paying passenger to Bakersfield?

Sep 24, 4:41 PMJan 24, 10:59 PM

14.25%chance

4225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

41

Will a spacecraft achieve a stable orbit around a star other than the Sun prior to 2200?

Oct 7, 4:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.48%chance

11202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

951

Will T Coronae Borealis reach magnitude 5.0 before August 15, 2025?

Apr 24, 4:04 AMAug 14, 11:59 PM

20.36%chance

9193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Covid-19 origin coronavirus caves are physically closed or destroyed by mid 2028

Dec 6, 7:42 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

30.93%chance

7148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

101

Will a spacecraft sustain a acceleration above 1 milligee at a specific impulse above 3000 seconds before 2045?

Jan 20, 11:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

31.53%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

95

53

When will a pan-coronavirus vaccine be available to healthy members of the united states public?

Mar 8, 12:27 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

10

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