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Prediction markets for Council

Will the World Platinum Investment Council forecast a platinum deficit exceeding 26 mt in 2025 by February 09, 2027?

Feb 9, 6:01 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM

96.96%chance

59979

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5199

133

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

4.83%chance

141932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1691

930

When will the next ecumenical council of the Roman Catholic Church be held?

Nov 9, 4:19 PMDec 31, 4:17 PM

11528

OptionProbability

2025-2030

2031-2040

2041-2050

2051-2060

2061-2070

2071-2080

2081-2090

2091-2100

2101-2110

2111-2125

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51279

OptionProbability

Tim Gaspar

Barri Worth Girvan

Christopher Robert Celona

Lehi White

Other

Jon Rawlings

74

18

3

2

2

1

A Sikh homeland of Khalistan is recognized by any UN security council member by end 2032

Sep 30, 8:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.74%chance

18710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1605

913

There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 2040

Dec 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

51.24%chance

16594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

852

Will UN Security Council single state veto power be abolished?

Sep 19, 10:41 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

11499

OptionProbability

Yes, before 2033

Yes, before 2030

Yes, before 2027

34

10

3

Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.8%chance

9301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

120

If Reform's change in council seats in the local elections is this, will there be a general election in 2026 or 2027?

Apr 22, 12:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2230

OptionProbability

Above +1200

Above +600

Above +900

60

10

10

Masterton, Carterton, and South Wairarapa District Councils amalgamate before 2030?

Oct 20, 3:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

2200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

If Labour loses >1000 council seats & Starmer leaves as PM in 2026, will PM after next election be Labour?

Apr 4, 12:21 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

34.69%chance

549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will the Russian Orthodox Church stop its membership in the World Council of Churches until 2030?

Aug 30, 2:53 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

15

OptionProbability

Yes, ROC will revoke its WCC membership

Yes, ROC will be expelled from WCC

No, ROC will still be a member church

Other

33

22

22

22

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