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Prediction markets for Council

Will the World Platinum Investment Council forecast a platinum deficit exceeding 26 mt in 2025 by February 09, 2027?

Feb 9, 6:01 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM

96.96%chance

59979

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5199

133

Which states have veto power in the UN Security Council in 2050?

Dec 14, 9:23 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

103649

OptionProbability

France

United States of America

People's Republic of China

Great Britain

Russia

Any East Asian or Southeast Asian state or intergovernmental organization (excluding China)

India

Brazil

European Union

Any arabic state or intergovernmental organization

Any african state or intergovernmental organization

97

95

95

95

92

25

23

15

11

10

9

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

4.83%chance

141932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1691

930

When will the next ecumenical council of the Roman Catholic Church be held?

Nov 9, 4:19 PMDec 31, 4:17 PM

11528

OptionProbability

2025-2030

2031-2040

2041-2050

2051-2060

2061-2070

2071-2080

2081-2090

2091-2100

2101-2110

2111-2125

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51279

OptionProbability

Tim Gaspar

Barri Worth Girvan

Christopher Robert Celona

Lehi White

Other

Jon Rawlings

74

18

3

2

2

1

A Sikh homeland of Khalistan is recognized by any UN security council member by end 2032

Sep 30, 8:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.74%chance

18710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1605

913

There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 2040

Dec 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

51.24%chance

16594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

852

Will UN Security Council single state veto power be abolished?

Sep 19, 10:41 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

11499

OptionProbability

Yes, before 2033

Yes, before 2030

Yes, before 2027

34

10

3

Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.8%chance

9301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

120

If Reform's change in council seats in the local elections is this, will there be a general election in 2026 or 2027?

Apr 22, 12:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2230

OptionProbability

Above +1200

Above +600

Above +900

60

10

10

Masterton, Carterton, and South Wairarapa District Councils amalgamate before 2030?

Oct 20, 3:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

2200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Will the UN Security Council hold a formal meeting on outer space before November 15, 2026?

Sep 15, 10:42 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

24.14%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

88

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