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Prediction markets for Council

Which states have veto power in the UN Security Council in 2050?

Dec 14, 9:23 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

103649

OptionProbability

France

United States of America

People's Republic of China

Great Britain

Russia

Any East Asian or Southeast Asian state or intergovernmental organization (excluding China)

India

Brazil

European Union

Any arabic state or intergovernmental organization

Any african state or intergovernmental organization

97

95

95

95

92

25

23

15

11

10

9

When will the next ecumenical council of the Roman Catholic Church be held?

Nov 9, 4:19 PMDec 31, 4:17 PM

11528

OptionProbability

2025-2030

2031-2040

2041-2050

2051-2060

2061-2070

2071-2080

2081-2090

2091-2100

2101-2110

2111-2125

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

3.68%chance

141429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2195

908

There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 2040

Dec 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

51.24%chance

16594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

852

A Sikh homeland of Khalistan is recognized by any UN security council member by end 2032

Sep 30, 8:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.74%chance

17510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1405

928

Masterton, Carterton, and South Wairarapa District Councils amalgamate before 2030?

Oct 20, 3:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 9

May 23, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

230

OptionProbability

Other

Jorge Nuno

Jose Ugarte

Estuardo Mazariegos

30

27

22

21

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 5

Apr 13, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

220

OptionProbability

Katy Young Yaroslavsky (incumbent)

Other

Eddie Ha

47

30

23

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 7

Apr 2, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

Monica Rodriguez (incumbent)

Other

Tony Rodriguez

Michael Ebenkamp

39

24

20

16

Katy Young Yaroslavsky reelected to Los Angeles City Council in 2026?

Mar 28, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.94%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Other

Tim Gaspar

Barri Worth Girvan

Jon Rawlings

30

26

25

19

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 11

Apr 8, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Traci Park (incumbent)

Other

Faizah Malik

39

39

22

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