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Top stories

Tom Cruise Declines Lifetime Achievement Award at 48th Kennedy Center Honors Citing Scheduling Conflicts

Tom Cruise Declines Lifetime Achievement Award at 48th Kennedy Center Honors Citing Scheduling Conflicts

Authors

7

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Cruise

[Metaculus] On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Apr 3, 11:02 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

1%chance

710147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1619

23

Will Ukraine use British Storm Shadow cruise missiles to attack the Kerch Bridge?

May 13, 1:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

21.4%chance

636988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1863

559

Will Tom Cruise go to Space by 2027?

Jan 25, 4:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.44%chance

846528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1292

845

Will Cruise re-obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2025

Apr 10, 7:56 PMJan 6, 7:59 AM

1%chance

61349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1419

15

Will Tom Cruise be making Mission Impossible movies in his eighties?

Jul 5, 7:37 PMJul 2, 10:59 PM

26.56%chance

28979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

812

Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2025?

Nov 1, 9:34 PMJan 10, 10:59 PM

7.61%chance

22894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

29

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.72%chance

6380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

987

Will Tom Cruise win another Best Actor or Best Supporting Actor Oscar by 2030?

Feb 24, 5:21 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

20.21%chance

9222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

47

Antarctica cruise leading to oil spill? Before 2030

Sep 12, 11:32 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

14.78%chance

6218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

45

At what market cap will Cruise exit?

Sep 6, 8:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66%chance

597

OptionProbability

YES

NO

184

73

Travolta or Cruise leaves Scientology

Jan 24, 10:32 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.17%chance

564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

102

Will OceanSky Cruises perform a commercial flight in 2026?

Jun 20, 11:18 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

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