Dai News

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

Jul 8, 10:15 PMJul 7, 6:59 AM

8912231

OptionProbability

Other

Adam Back

Hal Finney

Len Sassaman

Nick Szabo

Craig Wright

Sinclair Chen

Satoshi Nakamoto

Peter Todd

An Intelligence Agency

Wei Dai

Dorian Nakamoto

Jack Dorsey

Steve Sokolowski

Curtis Yarvin

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Elon Musk

Vitalik Buterin

[INVALID]

@Mira

[Invalid]

@jim

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

Apr 14, 3:22 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

36.68%chance

723580

OptionVotes

YES

1031

959

What will be the world's RESERVE CURRENCY by 2035?

Jun 3, 3:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

543483

OptionProbability

US dollar

Euro

ETH - Ethereum

USDT (Tether)

BTC - Bitcoin

Other

CNY - Chinese Yuan

USDC

CNH - offshore yuan

XAU - Gold

GBP - British Pound

a new BRICS currency

Bitcoin

EUR - European Union Euro

JPY - Japanese Yen

Dai

West African CFA franc

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Jan 8, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

55%chance

352427

OptionVotes

YES

1025

966

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Aug 3, 10:51 AMAug 11, 4:59 AM

57.94%chance

241667

OptionVotes

YES

1174

852

Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?

Apr 3, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17727

OptionProbability

Austro-Tai (language family that includes both Austronesian and Kra-Dai languages)

Dene-Yeniseian (language family that includes both Na-Dene and Yeniseian languages)

Je-Tupi-Carib (language family that includes both Je, Tupi and Carib languages)

Italo-Celtic (an IE subfamily that includes both Latin and a Celtic language, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

Elamo-Dravidian (language family that includes both Elamite and Dravidian languages)

Paleo-Balkan (an IE subfamily that includes all of: Albanian, Ilyrian, Daco-Thracian, Hellenic, Phrygian. Can also include Armenian, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

Uralo-Siberian (language family that includes Uralic, Yukaghir and Eskaleut)

Altaic (or any other language family containing both Turkic, Tungusic and Mongolic languages)

Pontic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Northwest Caucasian languages)

Indo-Uralic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Uralic languages)

Proto-World (all known languages in the world are proven to belong to the same macrofamily)

Will I begin using cryptocurrency transactions in my daily life before 2030?

Dec 11, 2:46 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

40.42%chance

31691

OptionVotes

YES

1235

784

If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?

Oct 10, 10:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23405

OptionProbability

Adam Back

Other

Multiple People

Hal Finney

Nick Szabo

Dorian Nakamoto

Len Sassaman

Wei Dai

Paul Le Roux

Craig Wright

Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?

Jan 12, 2:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

55.19%chance

3323

OptionVotes

YES

1110

901

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Sep 23, 2:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.09%chance

3152

OptionVotes

YES

1043

959

Will Wei Dai get more than 2 months of GPT5Pro in 2026?

Aug 9, 12:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.21%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

145

Arctic sea ice extent on Nov 20, 2026 (NSIDC daily value)?

Oct 22, 8:56 PMNov 19, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Below 9.5 million km²

9.5 to under 9.9

9.9 to under 10.3

10.3 million km² or above

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Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

What will be the world's RESERVE CURRENCY by 2035?

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?

Will I begin using cryptocurrency transactions in my daily life before 2030?

If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?

Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Will Wei Dai get more than 2 months of GPT5Pro in 2026?

Arctic sea ice extent on Nov 20, 2026 (NSIDC daily value)?

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