Daly News

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8553432

OptionProbability

US Dollar (USD)*

Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*

Euro (EUR)*

British Pound (GBP)*

Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)

Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)

Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)

Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)

Bitcoin (BTC)*

Paperclips

Gold (Au)

Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)

Worldcoin (WLD)*

Ethereum (ETH)*

TRUMP

Manifold Mana

Who will be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Feb 2, 3:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

329512

OptionProbability

Kevin Warsh

Mary Daly

Austan Goolsbee

Susan Collins

Lisa Cook

Kevin Hassett

Arthur Laffer

Larry Kudlow

Judy Shelton

Chris Waller

Scott Bessent

Stephen Miran

Jim Cramer

Andrew Hussie

Janet Yellen

Michelle Bowman

Rick Rieder

Other

Ray Dalio stock

Apr 9, 1:02 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

185349

OptionProbability

YES

542

160

Is it (mostly) the phones?

Mar 10, 5:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.41%chance

923136

OptionVotes

YES

2745

1735

Will the next Dali Lama be female?

Oct 8, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.04%chance

9370

OptionVotes

YES

313

109

Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?

Sep 21, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

136

Daly News

Prediction markets for Daly

Prediction markets for Daly

Prediction markets for Daly

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Who will be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Ray Dalio stock

Is it (mostly) the phones?

Will the next Dali Lama be female?

Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?

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