Daly News

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7139573

OptionProbability

US Dollar (USD)*

Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*

Euro (EUR)*

Bitcoin (BTC)*

Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)

Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)

Ethereum (ETH)*

Gold (Au)

Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)

Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)

Worldcoin (WLD)*

Paperclips

Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)

TRUMP

Manifold Mana

Who will be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Feb 2, 3:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

236942

OptionProbability

Kevin Warsh

Kevin Hassett

Chris Waller

Other

Larry Kudlow

Judy Shelton

Scott Bessent

Stephen Miran

Janet Yellen

Mary Daly

Austan Goolsbee

Susan Collins

Lisa Cook

Arthur Laffer

Jim Cramer

Andrew Hussie

Ray Dalio stock

Apr 9, 1:02 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

185349

OptionProbability

YES

542

160

Is it (mostly) the phones?

Mar 10, 5:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

67.34%chance

872820

OptionVotes

YES

2668

1772

Will the next Dali Lama be female?

Oct 8, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.04%chance

9370

OptionVotes

YES

313

109

Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?

Sep 21, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Daly News

Prediction markets for Daly

Prediction markets for Daly

Prediction markets for Daly

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Who will be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Ray Dalio stock

Is it (mostly) the phones?

Will the next Dali Lama be female?

Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?

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