OptionProbability
US Dollar (USD)*
Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*
Euro (EUR)*
Bitcoin (BTC)*
Ethereum (ETH)*
Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)
Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)
Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)
Gold (Au)
Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)
Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)
Worldcoin (WLD)*
TRUMP
Manifold Mana
Paperclips
57
32
24
8
7
6
5
2
YES
NO
542
160
OptionVotes
2889
1672
Chris Waller
Other
Kevin Warsh
Judy Shelton
Scott Bessent
Kevin Hassett
Stephen Miran
Larry Kudlow
Arthur Laffer
Mary Daly
Austan Goolsbee
Susan Collins
Lisa Cook
Jim Cramer
Andrew Hussie
22
14
11
3
1
313
109
March 2025
June 2025
September 2025
January 2026 D:
January 2025!
26
23
21
19
9
100