OptionProbability
Tyler Cowen
Sam Altman
Demis Hassabis
Dario Amodei
Paul Christiano
Zvi Mowshowitz
Geoffrey Hinton
Dwarkesh Patel
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Elon Musk
Dan Hendrycks
Yoshua Bengio
Keir Starmer
Gwern
Jensen Huang
Marc Andreessen
Donald Trump
48th President of the United States
Ilya Sutskever
Chris Olah
Mark Zuckerberg
Yann LeCun
The Pope
Vladimir Putin
Sacha Baron Cohen
Gary Marcus
Greta Thunberg
100
81
71
65
63
57
52
50
48
43
40
31
27
OptionVotes
NO
YES
130
