OptionProbability
RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department
Flag desecration prohibition passed
Any vaccines banned for any group of people
J6er pardoned
Sports team invited to the white house
A member of Congress is censured or expelled
The democrats take control of the house of representatives
Significant Rogue AI Incident
Blue wave in 2026 midterm elections
Democrats win Iowa governorship
Republicans lose the house majority in midterms
James Talarico wins Texas senate election
Rob Sand wins 2026 Iowa governor election
Katie Hobbs win 2026 Arizona governor election
@DudleyDOODOO creates over 80 options for this market
Prohibiting or restricting transgender care for adults
Democrats win the early voting race game and win the midterms
Democracy survives
Generative AI becomes permanent part our daily lives permanently
Mass Deportations
Trump is impeached
A major insider trading scandal linked to the US executive branch
Democrats win back the white house in 2028
Giorgia Meloni wins reelection prime minister
Left-wing CPAC alternative launches
RFK Jr impeached
Suffer a fall in public
Nicolas Maduro prosecuted and imprisoned for life
Chuck Grassley dies
Peter Hotez goes to prison
Convergence Magazine (Organizing Upgrade) shut down and cease to exist
@dudleyDOODO creates over 50 options that are either illogical, incomprehensible or too vague to resolve
Another project 2025 launched by Heritage Foundation for GOP 2029 presidency
All pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals causes all prediction markets as concept to defunct and cease to exist
Drone strike in Mexico by US
Nuclear weapon detonation
AGI achieved
US punitive expedition in Mexico
Starlink satellites damaged by US adversary
A second pope is elected
Republicans win the white house in 2028
Deep funding cuts to NIH, NSF, FDA, CDC, HHS, EPA fully implemented and becomes law
Democrats win trifecta in 2026 midterms
100k humanoid robots manufactured
All pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals causes all AI technologies and generative ai to defunct and cease to exist
Reiner Fuellmich released from prison
350 million people or more die, according to expert estimates
Another covid-like pandemic
NIH, CDC, FDA, HHS, NSF abolished permanently
Bell tower added at the US Capitol
Pauline Hanson becomes Australia prime minister
Reiner Fuellmich's Nuremberg 2.0 occurs and becomes reality
Science and public health infrastructures dies
All COVID-19 vaccines pulled off market entirely
Abolish vaccine funding entirely permanently
Zach Lahn wins Iowa 2026 governor election
Alice Weidel becomes German chancellor
Climate change infrastructures abolished permanently
MAGA and Trump challenge 2026 midterm GOP losses
A human walks on the Moon
Joe Exotic is released from prison
Nuremberg 2.0 over pandemics becomes reality and occurs
Patriots for Europe controls European parliament and wins majority
It ends with JD Vance becoming president
Antifa dissolves
Post-WW2 international orders die and abolished
AfD controls chancellorship and AfD becomes chancellor
Mark Carney wins 2029 Canada election
Vaccine research and projects permanently abolished
NASA abolished
US captures Daniel Ortega and all other leftist leaders worldwide
Europe of Sovereign Nations controls European parliament and wins majority
Measles vaccines abolished and pulled off market
Adam Schiff goes to prison
Chris Whitty goes to prison
European countries all under far-right regime control
Steve Bannon runs for 2028 president
Probabilistic forecasting dies, extinct, defunct, and cease to exist
Fauci and other scientist experts go to prison
Actblue shut down and cease to exist
All prediction markets defunct and cease to exist permanently
World war 3 and global war launch
Metaculus shut down and cease to exist
Room temperature superconductor discovered
Elon Musk is arrested for treason
China invades Taiwan
US military intervention on Canadian territory
Apple, Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, Perplexity defunct and cease to exist
Latin American countries all under far-right regime control
Ilhan Omar deported
Soros family goes to prison
Tulsi Gabbard is arrested for treason
Coup attempt in the United States
All in person comic con events get cancelled throughout 2020s
Republicans leads in early and mail in voting in midterms
Roberto Vannacci becomes Italy prime minister
Hillary Clinton goes to prison
All international NGOs defunct and cease to exist
Lula's 2026 Brazil election victory overturned and tilted to Bolsonaro
Any part of Greenland becomes de facto US territory (excludes military bases)
Republicans win control of the house
All type of vaccines abolished and pulled off market
Fauci goes to prison
Manifold market shut down and cease to exist
US withdraws from United Nations
Viktor Orban returns as prime minister
GOP, Trump, and MAGA controls all election infrastructures away from state governments
Russia invades all European countries
Barack Obama goes to prison
Nigel Farage becomes UK prime minister
Abolish global health funding and infrastructures
Abolish global vaccine funding and vaccine infrastructures permanently
Mass imprisonment of scientists, public health officials, pandemic officials and others worldwide
Far-right seizes all American universities nationwide
Global far-right alliances abolishes and defuncts generative AI and all AI technology
Global far-right alliances abolishes and defuncts all prediction markets
Anti-AI movement abolishes and defuncts all AI technologies and infrastructures
The Senate eliminates the filibuster
Largest solar flare since Carrington Event
Democracy dies
All left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations shut down
World Health Organization dissolved and abolished
Far-right seizes all American institutions
All US citizens arrested, detained, and targeted by ICE
Nuclear war
Reform UK wins UK 2029 election
World becomes global far-right regime
Russia invades all NATO countries
Bill Gates goes to prison
All media under right-wing control
North Korea bombs and invades South Korea
Elon Musk buys the 2026 midterm elections
US captures Lula and removes him from office
Supreme Court packing
22nd amendment repealed or interpreted to only apply to consecutive terms
Donald Trump reelected President
United States and the world becomes totalitarian dictatorship
All federal and state judges impeached
All Democrats imprisoned
Iran, Russia, North Korea, and China bombs US mainland
Rupert Lowe becomes UK prime minister
Human extinction
US buys Greenland and becomes 52nd state
Democrats permanently locked out of power
Democrats lose the house in 2026 midterm election
All scientists, doctors, pandemic experts, and all other public health officials go to prison
Eagles three-peat
2026 midterm election gets stolen by Trump and GOP and tilted in ruling party's favor
Abolish elections permanently
Russia invades all continents and controls the world globally
All Trump opponents go to prison
Canada becomes 51st state
Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran invades US mainland
Republicans win the early voting race game and win the midterms
Republicans surprisingly win the house in 2026 midterms
Abortion permanently banned nationwide and worldwide
End Russo-Ukranian war in 90 days
Red wave in 2026 midterm elections
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
99
99
99
98
96
95
94
91
73
73
71
63
60
58
50
46
44
44
42
35
34
30
29
28
27
25
25
24
24
24
23
23
21
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
18
17
17
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17
15
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8
8
8
8
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7
7
7
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6
6
6
6
6
5
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5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
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5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
444
44

