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Top stories

Teen Cancer Survivor DJ Daniel Sworn In as NYC Honorary Deputy Mayor

Authors

3

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Daniel

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:45 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.66%chance

105749

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3115

321

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.26%chance

103200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3614

283

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

82.42%chance

213066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2165

462

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:11 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

88.83%chance

72644

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2820

355

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

8525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

975

Will Daniel Negreanu win the World Series of Poker main event before the end of 2034?

Apr 30, 3:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.4%chance

5404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

542

41

Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.99%chance

13210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

971

Will Daniel Larson still be alive at the end of 2027?

Aug 26, 4:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.04%chance

3173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

271

37

Little Daniel stocks

May 4, 12:36 AMMay 4, 3:59 AM

2169

OptionProbability

NO

YES

218

11

Will the current IDF spokesperson, Daniel Hagari, be nominated for the position of Chief of Staff of the IDF?

Nov 19, 8:16 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

32.91%chance

5144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

63

Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.48%chance

6125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

97

Daniel Lurie runs for governor of California before 2035

Nov 1, 12:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

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