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Top stories

Teen Cancer Survivor DJ Daniel Sworn In as NYC Honorary Deputy Mayor

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Daniel

Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.'s vote total exceed Peltola's winning margin in Alaska's Senate race?

Oct 31, 5:24 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

28.04%chance

2510812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2986

1427

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:45 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.97%chance

115809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3175

315

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.26%chance

103200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3614

283

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

82.42%chance

213066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2165

462

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:11 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.68%chance

72944

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3120

321

What will Daniel Lord’s debt be on January 1st, 2027?

Aug 23, 5:33 AMAug 24, 3:59 AM

141689

OptionProbability

10,000 - 19,999

5,000 - 9,999

20,000 - 29,999

30,000 - 39,999

40,000 - 50,000

0 - 4,999

Above 50,000

24

20

13

12

12

11

8

Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?

Aug 22, 11:03 PMDec 1, 12:59 AM

62.43%chance

251389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5350

4932

Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.62%chance

14610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

880

Do Daniel, Yash, William, Ryan, Pascal and I all get into our earlies?

Nov 3, 11:47 PMJan 9, 11:59 PM

9547

OptionProbability

3 get in

4 get in

1 gets in

5 get in

2 get in

EVERYBODY GETS IN LFG

Nobody gets in

38

32

9

7

6

6

3

Will Daniel Negreanu win the World Series of Poker main event before the end of 2034?

Apr 30, 3:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.26%chance

6418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

391

55

Will Daniel Lord publicly state that he is in a romantic relationship before January 1, 2027?

Aug 20, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.28%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

Will DJ Daniel live to see the end of Trump's second term?

Mar 7, 2:28 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.52%chance

326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

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