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Top stories

Daniels, Burrow Trade Early Scores in Bengals-Commanders Preseason Test

Daniels, Burrow Trade Early Scores in Bengals-Commanders Preseason Test

Authors

10

6 months ago

U.S. Judge Lets 9/11 Families’ Suit Against Saudi Arabia Proceed

U.S. Judge Lets 9/11 Families’ Suit Against Saudi Arabia Proceed

Authors

11

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Daniels

Will Daniel Litt win his $25,000 bet that David Budden will not solve the Hodge conjecture?

Dec 20, 9:06 PMDec 20, 9:05 PM

98.25%chance

107107924

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7503

133

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:45 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.66%chance

105749

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3115

321

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.26%chance

103200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3614

283

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

82.42%chance

213066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2165

462

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:11 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

88.83%chance

72644

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2820

355

Will Daniel Naroditsky's death be revealed to be a suicide before April?

Oct 20, 10:22 PMApr 1, 4:59 AM

6.01%chance

251489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

25

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

8525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

975

Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.99%chance

13210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

971

Will Daniel Larson still be alive at the end of 2027?

Aug 26, 4:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.04%chance

3173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

271

37

Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56%chance

332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

68

Daniel Lurie runs for governor of California before 2035

Nov 1, 12:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

will daniel nie sell out to cs?

Oct 5, 6:39 AMSep 5, 6:38 AM

59.02%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

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