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Top stories

Daniels, Burrow Trade Early Scores in Bengals-Commanders Preseason Test

Daniels, Burrow Trade Early Scores in Bengals-Commanders Preseason Test

Authors

10

10 months ago

U.S. Judge Lets 9/11 Families’ Suit Against Saudi Arabia Proceed

U.S. Judge Lets 9/11 Families’ Suit Against Saudi Arabia Proceed

Authors

11

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Daniels

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:45 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.71%chance

115759

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3125

320

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

7.37%chance

113845

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3961

408

Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?

Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.26%chance

103200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3614

283

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

82.42%chance

213066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2165

462

Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?

Nov 6, 7:11 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

90.68%chance

72944

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3120

321

Will Daniel Larson still be alive at the end of 2026?

Aug 26, 4:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

95.33%chance

5413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

452

22

Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 2027

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.99%chance

13210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

971

Little Daniel stocks

May 4, 12:36 AMMay 4, 3:59 AM

2169

OptionProbability

NO

YES

218

11

Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.48%chance

6125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

97

Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.24%chance

482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

36

Daniel Lurie runs for governor of California before 2035

Nov 1, 12:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Daniel Lurie allows federalized troop deployment in San Francisco, during combined tenure with Donald Trump?

Apr 1, 1:54 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

7.01%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

86

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