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Top stories

Pakistan, Armenia Explore Diplomatic Relations After First Ministerial Call

Pakistan, Armenia Explore Diplomatic Relations After First Ministerial Call

Authors

4

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Dar

Darius Stock

Oct 29, 11:50 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

1188927682

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2787

2000

Does dark matter exist?

May 1, 4:37 PMMay 8, 8:59 PM

80.36%chance

507156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

840

DARPA Lift challenge participants achieve over 4X lift ratio?

Nov 14, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.9%chance

53048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

940

Will a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?

Jun 16, 10:13 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

67.74%chance

362720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

977

952

Will Australia-Asia Power Link deliver 900 megawatts of electricity to Darwin by 2030?

Aug 23, 9:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

19.92%chance

21005

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2005

499

Will Tomonori Totoni's claim of dark matter detection be broadly accepted before 2030?

Nov 27, 7:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.64%chance

4903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1903

525

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

Feb 19, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61%chance

16837

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1251

800

What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?

Oct 30, 4:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

28.62%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

953

Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?

Jul 21, 1:51 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

59.27%chance

12600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

98

Will Darien Village at Próspera be officially completed by EOY 2027?

Sep 18, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.34%chance

8262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1143

875

If I ever debate Darth Dawkins, will I 'win' by Manifold's judgement?

Feb 14, 2:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.74%chance

1185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

988

Will Dar es Salaam, Tanzania have a Metro System before 2030?

Mar 20, 1:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.62%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

83

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