Dario News

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Dec 8, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

272165407

OptionProbability

Other

Zohran Mamdani

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Elon Musk

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including ChatGPT or any other variation)

Dario Amodei

Xi Jinping

Artemis II crew

Sam Altman

Jerome Powell

Mark Carney

Epstein

Benjamin Netanyahu

Jensen Huang

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Self Driving Cars (Uber, Waymo, etc.)

[Next FOMC Chair]

Robots (not self driving cars)

The People of Minnesota (and other variations)

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211146597

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Elon Musk

Dario Amodei

Xi Jinping

Marco Rubio

Sam Altman

Vladimir Putin

Benjamin Netanyahu

Gavin Newsom

Jon Ossoff

AOC

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Jensen Huang

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

James Talarico

Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

Bad Bunny

Kevin Warsh

Pete Hegseth

By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?

Apr 22, 9:43 PMDec 28, 7:59 AM

21.5%chance

342367

OptionVotes

YES

1715

685

Will Dario Amodei still be CEO of Anthropic by the end of August 2026?

Jun 19, 9:42 AMSep 1, 7:00 AM

98.88%chance

171688

OptionVotes

YES

939

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

Feb 19, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61%chance

16837

OptionVotes

YES

1251

800

Will "Dario probably doesn't believe in superintell..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 12, 6:40 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.3%chance

5385

OptionVotes

YES

1350

952

Will "Anthropic: "Statement from Dario Amodei on ou..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Feb 27, 8:35 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

4322

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will the combined net worth of Greg Brockman and Dario Amodei exceed that of Elon Musk, before one of them dies?

Jul 5, 6:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.8%chance

6158

OptionVotes

YES

114

Will "Dario Amodei – The Adolescence of Technology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 27, 5:23 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.01%chance

295

OptionVotes

YES

1043

773

Will Dario Amodei write an essay on what powerful AI will look like, and/or when it will arrive, by October 2027?

Oct 13, 7:03 PMOct 12, 3:59 AM

64.73%chance

692

OptionVotes

YES

135

Will curt jaimungal end up interviewing Dario Amodei at Anthropic?

Jul 27, 5:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Who in this list is FUNNIEST? (Elon, Sam Altman, BasedBeffJezos, Dario, Demis...)?

Aug 13, 12:15 AM

Dario News

Prediction markets for Dario

Prediction markets for Dario

Prediction markets for Dario

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?

Will Dario Amodei still be CEO of Anthropic by the end of August 2026?

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

Will "Dario probably doesn't believe in superintell..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will "Anthropic: "Statement from Dario Amodei on ou..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will the combined net worth of Greg Brockman and Dario Amodei exceed that of Elon Musk, before one of them dies?

Will "Dario Amodei – The Adolescence of Technology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will Dario Amodei write an essay on what powerful AI will look like, and/or when it will arrive, by October 2027?

Will curt jaimungal end up interviewing Dario Amodei at Anthropic?

Who in this list is FUNNIEST? (Elon, Sam Altman, BasedBeffJezos, Dario, Demis...)?

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