David Chang News
Top stories
Prediction markets for David Chang
Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry
Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM
97.16%chance
2711352
OptionVotes
6226
197
Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Mar 17, 7:16 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM
94.59%chance
127898
OptionVotes
4229
242
OptionProbability
100
97
94
94
85
83
78
76
74
68
59
53
48
47
46
30
21
17
13
9
5
1
0
0
When will the NCAA Division I Men’s basketball tournament (March Madness) expand beyond 68 teams?
Jan 2, 3:12 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM
52098
OptionProbability
43
38
8
8
1
1
1
Will I become vegan/vegetarian/pescatarian before 2030?
Jun 2, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.58%chance
14997
OptionVotes
1009
966
OptionProbability
97
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
219
46
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district
Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3115
OptionProbability
85
8
8
What changes will Trump make to the Department of Education by the end of his term? Will he kill the Department and how?
Dec 19, 9:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
764
OptionProbability
26
20
20
11
8
8
7
Will David Kirkpatrick estimate Trump earned more than 10 billion USD from the presidency?
Jan 20, 7:51 PMFeb 21, 7:50 PM
54.75%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91
Will Steve Ballmer or the Los Angeles Clippers face serious consequences for NBA salary cap circumvention?
Mar 10, 7:27 PMJun 19, 6:23 PM
45.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91
OptionProbability
75
65


