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David Offer News
Prediction markets for David Offer
Prediction markets for David Offer
Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry
Feb 28, 12:08 AM
Aug 31, 10:59 PM
98.97%
chance
31
19748
Option
Votes
NO
YES
10655
120
Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Mar 17, 7:16 AM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
93.24%
chance
15
9253
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3755
272
What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant Y?
Sep 8, 6:58 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
3.05%
chance
8
747
Option
Votes
YES
NO
665
113
Will Anthropic require training-consent for any frontier model by mid-2027?
Jun 21, 9:40 AM
Jun 30, 11:59 PM
15.62%
chance
9
202
Option
Votes
YES
NO
127
94
Will Duolingo launch support for learning Farsi in 2026
Jan 8, 11:21 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.42%
chance
5
152
Option
Votes
YES
NO
240
75
Will Alvarez join barca this summer
Jul 25, 5:57 AM
Aug 31, 11:59 PM
48.52%
chance
1
3
Option
Votes
YES
NO
103
97
If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity
Feb 16, 11:53 PM
28
0
Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?
Dec 3, 4:22 PM
1
0
Achieve 1000Mana profit on Bitcoin related markets
Feb 29, 2:19 PM
0
0
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